Oil soars and stocks slide amid Middle East escalation fears
Stocks fell and oil surged as much as 13% in its biggest intraday rise in three years early on Friday, as investors feared a major escalation of tensions in the Middle East after Israel attacked Iran’s nuclear program and Iranian military leaders.
Brent crude surged to $78 a barrel before easing to around $75, rapidly erasing much of this year’s losses caused by trade tensions and increased OPEC+ output. Gold also hit its highest level in weeks, rising 1.2% to $3,423.30 an ounce as investors fled to safety.
Analysts fear that Iran could target shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, which about one-fifth of the world’s oil passes through, potentially disrupting supplies of millions of barrels of oil a day in an extreme scenario. Such a scenario could see prices reach $130 a barrel, JPMorgan Chase & Co. recently warned.
“We are seeing classical risk-off moves,” Matthew Haupt, portfolio manager at Wilson Asset Management, told Bloomberg. “What we are watching now for is the speed and scale of the response from Tehran. That will shape the duration of the current moves. Quite often these moves fade after the initial shocks.”
Meanwhile, Gulf airlines delayed and cancelled flights to Iran, Iraq and Israel on Friday, with some rerouted mid-flight. Israel’s Ben Gurion Airport was closed until further notice, while Iran closed its airspace and Iraq suspended civilian flights. Flights to Lebanon and Jordan were also disrupted.