UAE eyes currency support from U.S. if war disruptions deepen
The UAE is making contingency plans for deeper financial disruptions from war with Iran and asking the U.S. for help.
UAE Central Bank Governor Khaled Mohamed Balama has discussed the possibility of receiving various forms of financial backing in meetings with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve officials in Washington, The Wall Street Journal reports.
A key option under consideration is a dollar swap line ā an arrangement that would allow the UAE to access large amounts of U.S. dollars from the Federal Reserve in exchange for its own currency, helping ensure banks and businesses can keep operating if dollar funding tightens.
The concern is that continued attacks on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could sharply reduce oil revenues and limit the flow of dollars into the UAE, putting pressure on the dirham, which is pegged to the U.S. currency, and raising the risk of capital outflows.
While no formal request has been made, the talks highlight growing unease in Abu Dhabi that a prolonged conflict could disrupt trade and finance, push some transactions toward alternative currencies such as the Chinese yuan, and force the UAE to rely on U.S. backing to stabilize its economy.
The Daily Circuit: UAE contingency planning + AIQās North American push
In todayās Daily Circuit, weāre reporting on AIQās sales push into the U.S. and Canada, Omanās $3 billion rail venture with Mubadala and Etihad, Egyptās $27 billion āSpineā development outside Cairo, and Saudi Arabiaās commitment in Washington to fight money laundering. But first, dollar swaps may give the UAE some breathing room if war-related economic damage worsens.
The UAE is making contingency plans for deeper financial disruptions from war with Iran and asking the U.S. for help.
UAE Central Bank Governor Khaled Mohamed Balama has discussed the possibility of receiving various forms of backing in meetings with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve officials in Washington, The Wall Street Journal reports.
A key option under consideration is a dollar swap line ā an arrangement that would allow the UAE to access large amounts of U.S. dollars from the Federal Reserve in exchange for its own currency, helping ensure banks and businesses can keep operating if dollar funding tightens.
The concern is that continued attacks on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could sharply reduce oil revenues and limit the flow of dollars into the UAE, putting pressure on the dirham, which is pegged to the U.S. currency, and raising the risk of capital outflows.
While no formal request has been made, the talks highlight growing unease in Abu Dhabi that a prolonged conflict could disrupt trade and finance, push some transactions toward alternative currencies such as the Chinese yuan, and force the UAE to rely on U.S. backing to stabilize its economy.
Editorās Note: Have thoughts or feedback? Hit reply or drop us a note at [email protected].
š° Developing Stories
WAR PRESSURE
Qatar is struggling to play the role of mediator as it tries to balance its alliances with both the U.S. and Iran. The country has found itself a target during the seven-week war, suffering attacks on facilities tied to QatarEnergy and disruptions to its gas exports. Qatar has resisted deeper involvement in negotiations, wary of jeopardizing its economic and security interests, particularly given its shared gas field and longstanding relationship with Iran, The New York Times reports. The result is a delicate balancing act in which Doha is attempting to avoid being drawn fully into the conflict while facing growing risks to its economy, diplomacy and regional positioning as the war escalates.Ā
FOLLOW THE MONEY
Saudi Arabia says itās stepping up efforts to combat illicit financial activity. Saudi Central Bank Governor Ayman Al-Sayari said during a meeting of the Financial Action Task Force in Washington, D.C. last week that the kingdom is aligning its regulatory framework with international standards and has updated anti-money laundering laws to strengthen supervision, confiscation mechanisms and cross-border cooperation. Al-Sayeri also called for stronger international coordination to fight terrorist financing and arms proliferation. āWe support adopting a risk-based approach in implementing international standards requirements and mutual evaluation processes, and we welcome financial innovations,ā Al-Sayari said.
š² Sovereign Circuit
Public Investment Fund: ACWA Power, a unit of the Saudi sovereign wealth fund, is advancing some $3 billion in energy investments with Saudi Electric Co. for the Rabigh 2 Independent Power Producer Expansion project near Mecca.Ā
AIQ: The Abu Dhabi-backed AI company ā owned by Presight and ADNOC ā will seek to increase sales of its energy-focused AI tools through expansion in the U.S. and Canada, CEO Dennis Jol told The National.
Mubadala: Hafeet Rail, a $3 billion joint venture between Etihad Rail, Oman Rail and Mubadala, has completed 40% of its 238-kilometer (148-mile) UAE-Oman railway.
G42: U.S chipmaker Cerebras, which counts UAE tech investor G42 and Abu Dhabiās Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence as its biggest customers, has filed to go public on Nasdaq.
š Sagging Outlook: Moodyās downgraded its outlook for Bahrain and Iraq to negative, citing economic risks and fiscal pressure linked to the ongoing regional conflict.
šļø Desert Spine: Egypt is moving ahead with a $27 billion project east of Cairo called āThe Spineā that will include homes, office buildings, hotels, stores, parks and entertainment venues.
š Affordable Homes: UAE developer Aldar will build two communities under an affordable housing plan in Abu Dhabi that will include 9,000 rental homes, with a total value of $762 million.
š„ Food Fair: Oman will launch 400 food projects worth $1 billion in total this year, targeting plant, livestock, fisheries, and food security sectors.
š£ Circuit Chatter
ā³ Syrian Channel: A pitch by billionaire Syrian investors to build a Trump-branded golf course in the war-ravaged country is raising questions about the way business interests are trying to win favor in the White House to secure U.S. government contracts, The New York Times reports.
š¦ Crypto Strains: A backlash has erupted at World Liberty Financial, the digital asset venture backed by Donald Trump and his sons, after investor Justin Sun publicly criticized the companyās governance and control over its WLFI token. The Financial Times reports.
ā½ Soccer Shakeup: A private equity-led overhaul at Chelsea Football Club under owners Todd Boehly and Clearlake Capital is facing mounting pressure as heavy spending on players has yet to deliver consistent victories, putting Champions League qualification in doubt, The Financial Times reports.
š Fowl Play: A cartel has been referred to the UAEās Federal Public Prosecution for price manipulation in the poultry market, The National reports.
š Power Circuit
UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayedmet with Sheikh Hamad bin Mohammed Al Sharqi, Ruler of the northern emirate of Fujairah, and inspected Fujairah Port.
Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed, UAE Minister of Foreign Affairs, met withYvette Cooper, U.K. Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs, in Abu Dhabi on Saturday.
Prince Faisal bin Farhan, Saudi Arabiaās Minister of Foreign Affairs, met with Indiaās National Security Adviser Ajit Doval in Riyadh on Sunday.
āæ On the Circuit
Mina Hamoodi, Head of Healthcare and Private Equity at Mubadala, has been selected to join the World Economic Forum’s Young Global Leaders Class of 2026. Others picked for the WEF cohort include Khaled Ahmed Sharbatly, CEO of Desert Technologies, and Yazeed Almubarak, Head of BlackRock Middle East and CEO of BlackRock Saudi Arabia.
Dr. Omar Al Nuaimi, Secretary-General of the UAEās Federal National Council, presented the countryās institutional framework for artificial intelligence in parliamentary work during a meeting of the Association of Secretaries General of Parliaments in Istanbul.
Jasem Mohamed Al-Budaiwi, Secretary-General of the Gulf Cooperation Council, met withThomas Byrne, Irish Minister for European Affairs and Defense, at the Antalya Diplomacy Forum in Turkey on Saturday.
Anthony Gutman, Co-CEO of Goldman Sachs International, sat for a podcast interview with The National, where he said that there’s no lack of ambition in the UAE and while it is ānot quite business as usual, the desire to deploy capital and to drive returns and drive value and do what we like our clients to do with us is absolutely clear.ā
š¶ Culture Circuit
šØ Comeback Art: Art Dubai will hold a scaled-back special edition of its 2026 fair next month, featuring 50 exhibitors, large-scale installations and a public program. The free event replaces the original event scheduled for April, which was postponed because of the war. āCurrent circumstances mean that this may not be what we had planned to mark our 20th edition, but the galleries and wider programs represent what makes Art Dubai both unique and special,ā Art Dubai Group Executive Director Benedetta Ghione said. The event will run from May 15-17.
š· Photo of the Day
Dubai Ruler Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid surprised diners by dropping in at the Sushi Samba restaurant on Palm Jumeirah on Saturday. (Instagram/Sushi Samba)
š Circuit Calendar
April 20-22, Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi Global Entrepreneurship Festival 2026. Bringing entrepreneurs, investors and experts to support innovation, partnerships and economic diversification. Abu Dhabi Energy Centre.
April 20-22, Riyadh. Future Aviation Forum. Exploring the future of air transport, sustainability, advanced air mobility, and artificial intelligence. King Abdulaziz International Conference Center.
April 23, Dubai. Mawarid FinTech Summit. The event brings together industry leaders, innovators, regulators, and investors shaping the future financial technology across the MENA region. Grand Hyatt Dubai Conference & Exhibition Centre.
April 27-28, Riyadh. Start Smart Saudi. The forum seeks to gather leading investors and ambitious entrepreneurs seeking to fuel the next stage of their startup growth. The Garage.
April 28-May1, Dubai. World Token Summit. The event brings together regulators, founders, fund managers, and architects of the on-chain economy. Zaabel One.
May 4-7, Abu Dhabi. Make It In The Emirates. The UAEās industrial promotion board celebrates its fifth anniversary. ADNEC.
May 11-13, Abu Dhabi. Ai Everything. A one-day summit combined with a two-day expo explores how AI and humans can work together. ADNEC.
May 12-14, Dubai. Airport Show & Global Airport Leaders Forum. Bringing together top airport suppliers, aviation leaders, and thousands of professionals. Dubai World Trade Center.
May 19-21, Abu Dhabi. World Utilities Congress. Global policymakers, industry leaders and innovators discuss transforming the power, water and utilities sector into resilient, lowācarbon systems ADNEC.
May 19-21, Damascus. Big5 Construct Syria. The inaugural edition of the platform for reconstruction and development. Syria Expo Center.
May 19-21, Riyadh. Middle East Museums & Heritage Expo. Saudi Arabiaās first dedicated museum, heritage and cultural development trade show. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Convention Center.
May 8-24, Dubai. Dubai Esports & Games Festival. More than two weeks of events, tournaments, game launches and free activities citywide, including GameExpo 2026. Dubai World Trade Center.
June 17-19, Rome: FII Priority Europe: Saudi Arabiaās Future Investment Initiative holds a conference focusing on European business links with the Middle East. Cavalieri, Waldorf Astoria Hotel.
The Daily Circuit: PIF sells top football team + Gulf faces economic fallout
In todayās Daily Circuit, weāre reporting on Prince Alwaleed bin Talal buying one of the Saudi Arabiaās top soccer clubs from the Public Investment Fund, the Gulf funds set to benefit from Indiaās biggest ever IPO, a subsidiary of Lunate growing its portfolio in Australia, and another Abu Dhabi firm taking a stake in popular cafe chain Joe & the Juice. But first, the Gulf reckons with the sweeping economic fallout of war.
The Middle East is coming to terms with one of its worst economic downgrades since the global financial crisis and faces further decline if the war with Iran continues, with the countries most reliant on the Strait of Hormuz expected to be the worst affected.
While growth across the wider Middle East, North Africa and Pakistanregion will slow to 1.4% this year, according to the International Monetary Fund, Gulf economies are bearing the brunt of the disruption.
Exporters wholly reliant on the strait face deeper contractions, with Qatarās economy now expected to shrink by 8.6% this year, a downward revision of almost 15 percentage points from October forecasts. Iraqās GDP is expected to contract 6.8% and Iranās by 6.1%.
By contrast, growth of 3.1% is expected for both Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which have invested heavilyin their non-oil economies in recent years and also have some alternative oil export routes. That figure is revised down by 0.9 percentage points and 1.9 percentage points, respectively.
āThis is among the largest six-month downgrades ⦠since the global financial crisis,ā Jihad Azour, director of the IMFās regional department, said on Thursday, presenting the fund’s latest Regional Economic Outlook.
The IMF said prolonged conflict could deepen economic āscarring,ā and global growth could slow to below 2% in a severe scenario involving significant damage to energy infrastructure.
Editorās Note: Have thoughts or feedback? Hit reply or drop us a note at [email protected].
š° Developing Stories
KICK BACK
Saudi Arabiaās Public Investment Fund will sell one of the countryās most prestigious soccer clubs to billionaire Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, as it continues its sports privatization drive. The princeās conglomerate Kingdom Holding Co. is set to own 70% of Al Hilal in a deal that values the club at about $373.2 million, with the PIF maintaining a minority stake, Bloomberg reports. The $1 trillion sovereign wealth fund is also seeking to sell the three other Saudi Pro League clubs that it owns stakes in and has opened the door to potential foreign investment. āPIFās investment in sports clubs has fulfilled targets, driving up commercial revenue, matchday income, retail, and sponsorships,ā PIF Governor Yasir Al-Rumayyan said, unveiling the fundās new investment strategy this week.
MEGA IPO
Reliance Industries, the Indian conglomerate led by billionaire Mukesh Ambani is expected to file paperwork for an IPO of Jio Platforms in May, in what could become Indiaās biggest-ever stock market debut. Gulf sovereign funds including Mubadala, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and Saudi Arabiaās Public Investment Fund have ploughed billions into Jio and are expected to reap a significant windfall if they pare back their stakes through the listing. Of the three, the PIF is understood to have the biggest stake, paying $1.5 billion for 2.23% of the company in 2020. The listing, which is being managed by as many as 19 banks, will mark the first public offering by a major Reliance unit in nearly two decades, Bloomberg reports. It comes as Gautam Adani overtook Ambani as Asiaās richest man this week after the latter’s wealth took a hit from the energy crisis sparked by the Iran war. They have fortunes of $92.6 billion and $90.8 billion respectively.
š² Sovereign Circuit
Lunate: Abu Dhabi-based āprivate equity investment ā manager Axight, owned by Lunate, will ābuy a minority stake in La Trobe Financial from āBrookfield Asset Management, in a deal that pushes the value of āthe Australian āalternative asset manager to $2.15 billion.
Qatar Investment Authority: The QIA joined Plataās $405 million Series C round, which values the Latin American digital bank at $5 billion.
Qatar Investment Authority: Sheikh Bandar bin Mohammed, Governor of Qatar Central Bank, and Chairman of Qatar Investment Authority, met with Anthony Malkin, Chairman and CEO of Empire State Realty Trust, on Thursday.
Oman Investment Authority: A subsidiary of the OIA has started construction on a 500MW solar plant with battery storage in Botswana with Botswana Power Corporation.
XRG: Nameer Siddiqu, the Chief Investment Officer of ADNOCās investment firm XRG, said during Semaforās World Economy Summit that short-term volatility does not change XRGās long-term investment approach.
š„¤ New Squeeze: Abu Dhabiās Emirates International Investment Co. is buying a minority stake in Danish cafe chain Joe & the Juice at a valuation of $1.8 billion,Bloomberg reports.
āļø Energy Star: Norwayās Scatec said that its 60 MW Tozeur solar plant in Tunisia has begun commercial operations.
š° Towering Deal: Al Yamamah Steel signed a $33.6 million contract with SEPCO III to supply wind towers for the Yanbu wind farm.
š Drop Off:Ā MENA equity and equityārelated issuances slumped by 91% year-on-yearĀ in the first quarter of 2026, with total proceeds falling to $472.9 million, according to new data.
š£ Circuit Chatter
šļø Faded Dream: Anantara World Islands Dubai Resort, the first hotel to open on the emirate’s ambitious offshore project, has ceased operations after less than five years, The National reports.
š¢ļø Making Hay: A huge jet fuel refinery in Nigeria owned by Aliko Dangote, Africaās richest person, has become a vital source for Europe amid Gulf oil disruptions, Bloomberg reports.
āļø Digging Deep: Egypt is introducing new incentives to boost drilling and increase domestic oil and gas production.
š¤ China Deal: The UAE Ministry of Investment signed an agreement with Chinaās Jereh Group to develop a clean energy and industrial platform.
š Driver Slump: Chauffeurs working for Addison Leeās executive service in the U.K. say their earnings have collapsed since the Iran war began, amid a slump in Emirates business class passengers, The Financial Times reports.
š Power Circuit
UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayedreceived the credentials of newly appointed ambassadors to the UAE, including Isaac Ananias Moyo, Ambassador of Zimbabwe; Bolbongse Vangphaen, Ambassador of Thailand; and Zeng Jixin, Ambassador of China.
Omanās Sultan Haitham bin Tariqmet withQatarās Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad in Muscat on Thursday to discuss developments in the region.
Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed, Crown Prince of Dubai and UAE Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense, visited a new air taxi station near Dubai International Airport on Thursday.
āæ On the Circuit
Mohamed bin Hadi Al Hussaini, UAE Minister of State for Financial Affairs, met withScott Bessent, U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, to discuss prospects for strengthening strategic cooperation, in the presence of Khaled Mohamed Balama, Governor of the Central Bank of the UAE.
French President Emannuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmerwill hold a meeting with international leaders in Paris to push plans to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Naguib Sawiris, the Egyptian billionaire Chairman of Ora Developers, told The Nationalhe expects the UAE property market to bounce back strongly and ācontinue booming,ā as he announced an $8.2 billion expansion of a “mini city” project between Abu Dhabi and Dubai.
Fatih Birol, Executive Director of the International Energy Agency, said it could take up to two years to recover a significant share of oil and gas production disrupted by the Iran war.
Mohammed Aljadaan, Saudi Arabiaās Finance Minister, said on Thursday at the IMFās spring meetings in Washington, D.C. that if the conflict ceased today, it would still take āweeks if not monthsā for Gulf output of energy, fertilisers and other industrial inputs to recover.
š¶ Culture Circuit
šØ Art Award: Abu Dhabi-born Emirati artist Farah Al Qasimi has been named among the 33 medallists in Art Basel Awardsā Emerging Artist category for 2026. One of the UAEās most internationally renowned creative talents, Al Qasimi is also among the six artists selected for the National Pavilion UAEās 2026 Venice Biennale exhibition, Washwasha, The National reports.
š· Photo of the Day
Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed, Crown Prince of Dubai and UAE Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defence, reviewed a new air taxi station near Dubai International Airport on Thursday. It features two pads for take-off and landing. (Dubai Media Office)
š Circuit Calendar
April 20-22, Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi Global Entrepreneurship Festival 2026. Bringing entrepreneurs, investors and experts to support innovation, partnerships and economic diversification. Abu Dhabi Energy Centre.
April 20-22, Riyadh. Future Aviation Forum. Exploring the future of air transport, sustainability, advanced air mobility, and artificial intelligence. King Abdulaziz International Conference Center.
April 23, Dubai. Mawarid FinTech Summit. The event brings together industry leaders, innovators, regulators, and investors shaping the future financial technology across the MENA region. Grand Hyatt Dubai Conference & Exhibition Centre.
April 27-28, Riyadh. Start Smart Saudi. The forum seeks to gather leading investors and ambitious entrepreneurs seeking to fuel the next stage of their startup growth. The Garage.
April 28-May1, Dubai. World Token Summit. The event brings together regulators, founders, fund managers, and architects of the on-chain economy. Zaabel One.
May 4-7, Abu Dhabi. Make It In The Emirates. The UAEās industrial promotion board celebrates its fifth anniversary. ADNEC.
May 11-13, Abu Dhabi. Ai Everything. A one-day summit combined with a two-day expo explores how AI and humans can work together. ADNEC.
May 12-14, Dubai. Airport Show & Global Airport Leaders Forum. Bringing together top airport suppliers, aviation leaders, and thousands of professionals. Dubai World Trade Center.
May 19-21, Abu Dhabi. World Utilities Congress. Global policymakers, industry leaders and innovators discuss transforming the power, water and utilities sector into resilient, lowācarbon systems ADNEC.
May 19-21, Damascus. Big5 Construct Syria. The inaugural edition of the platform for reconstruction and development. Syria Expo Center.
May 19-21, Riyadh. Middle East Museums & Heritage Expo. Saudi Arabiaās first dedicated museum, heritage and cultural development trade show. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Convention Center.
May 8-24, Dubai. Dubai Esports & Games Festival. More than two weeks of events, tournaments, game launches and free activities citywide, including GameExpo 2026. Dubai World Trade Center.
June 17-19, Rome: FII Priority Europe: Saudi Arabiaās Future Investment Initiative holds a conference focusing on European business links with the Middle East. Cavalieri, Waldorf Astoria Hotel.
The Daily Circuit: LIV Golfās cloudy future + UAE-Jordan rail deal
In todayās Daily Circuit, weāre reporting on the $2.3 billion rail connection deal signed by the UAE and Jordan, Abu Dhabi-based IHCās acquisition of First Women Bank in Pakistan, Saudi Electric Co.ās joint AI venture with Kraken Technologies and XRGās foray into Europe for M&A opportunities. But first, PIF-backed LIV Golfās future is looking cloudy.
Saudi Arabiaās Public Investment Fund is weighing whether to withdraw funding from LIV Golf after years of heavy losses and weak television audiences in the U.S., putting the breakaway leagueās future in doubt.
The decision comes as the PIF announced a new five-year strategy on Wednesday, with the sovereign wealth fundās Governor Yasir Al-Rumayyan saying it would slow down some of its biggest projects as it focuses on āincreasing the efficiency of investments,ā The Financial Times reports.
LIV Golf, launched in 2022 with billions in PIF backing, has disrupted professional golf by luring top players with lucrative contracts but has struggled to build a sustainable business model. The league has reportedly lost hundreds of millions of dollars annually, including about $600 million in 2024, as media rights and fan engagement failed to match expectations.
The potential shutdown follows stalled merger talks with the PGA Tour and comes amid broader scrutiny of Saudi spending priorities and the leagueās limited commercial returns. Any move to end funding would leave dozens of players who defected from the PGA Tour facing uncertain futures, capping a four-year upheaval that reshaped the economics and politics of professional golf.
LIV Golf CEO Scott OāNeil, meanwhile, told staff in an internal email sent this week that the 2026 season will proceed āas planned, uninterrupted and at full throttle,ā pushing back on speculation about the leagueās future, ESPN reports.
Editorās Note: Have thoughts or feedback? Hit reply or drop us a note at [email protected].
š° Developing Stories
JORDAN RAIL
Jordan and the UAE signed a $2.3 billion agreement to develop a rail project connecting the countryās phosphate and potash mines to the port of Aqaba. Lāimad Holding, the new sovereign wealth fund overseen by Abu Dhabiās Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohamed, will partner with multiple Jordanian entities to build and operate the 360-kilometer (225-mile) railway, with construction to begin in 2027. Jordanās Transport Minister Nedal Katamine said it was the countryās largest transport project in decades and one of the biggest in the region. The deal highlights Lāimadās growing role in Abu Dhabiās dealmaking, Bloomberg reports.
QUIET BORROWING
Gulf states have raised nearly $10 billion through private bond sales in April, marking their first international borrowing since the Iran war disrupted regional economies. Abu Dhabi issued $4.5 billion, Qatar $3 billion and Kuwait $2 billion in dollar-denominated bonds via private placements rather than public markets, where borrowing conditions have become more volatile, The Financial Times reports. The fundraising comes as a tentative ceasefire with Iran opens a window to shore up finances following steep losses from reduced oil and gas exports and damage linked to the near shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. Despite controlling more than $3.5 trillion in sovereign assets, the states are tapping debt markets to support spending plans after Qatar halted LNG exports and oil flows from Kuwait and the UAE declined sharply.
š² Sovereign Circuit
International Holding Co.: The Abu Dhabi-based conglomerate led by UAE National Security Advisor Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed has received regulatory approval for the acquisition of Pakistanās First Women Bank.
Mubadala: Dina Powell McCormick, President of Meta, said on Monday during her appearance at Semafor’s World Economy Summit in Washington, D.C. that she had recently spoken with Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Mubadala CEO and Managing Director, to discuss how the UAE’s investments in artificial intelligence and other technologies would support its economy amid the current conflict.
Mubadala: CFO Carlos Obeid reflects on the sovereign wealth fundās financial evolution over the past 25 years in an interview with Mubadalaās in-house video series, The Exchange.
XRG: The global investment arm of the UAEās ADNOC national oil company is looking for merger and acquisition opportunities in Europe, Bloomberg reports.
Saudi Electricity Co.: The state-owned utility formed a joint venture with Kraken Technologies to deploy AI-driven grid management technology.
EDGE: The UAE defense conglomerate and Spainās Indra Group signed an agreement at LAAD Security 2026 in SĆ£o Paulo to explore developing and producing next-generation radar systems in Brazil.
šµ Liquidity Help: Aldar Properties secured a five-year, $1.4 billion sustainability-linked revolving credit facility, boosting liquidity.
š° FDI Friends: The UAE invested around $95 million between January and February of this year in Turkey, the state-owned Anadolu news agency reports.
š” Chipping In: U.S. electronics giant Molex acquired Israeli optical chip startup Teramount for about $430 million, adding high-speed data-transfer technology used in next-generation AI infrastructure and data centers.
š£ Circuit Chatter
Flagging Funds: The sponsorship agreement between Fanatics and Saudi Arabia’s General Entertainment Authority for its Tom Brady-fronted flag football event is in peril following the relocation of the tournament from the kingdom to Los Angeles,Ā Front Office SportsĀ reports.
š° Flexible Workplace: Dubai is easing compliance requirements, cutting paperwork and allowing greater remote work for financial firms as it tries to maintain its status as a hub for hedge funds amid the regional conflict, Bloomberg reports.
š¼ New Arrival: Alternative investment manager Barings has opened a new office in Abu Dhabiās ADGM free zone, as it pursues deeper relationships with sovereign funds, family offices and institutional investors across the Gulf. āā
š Global Reach: Qatarās Estithmar Holding, which has interests ranging from construction and hotels to healthcare, outlined plans to expand operations in 10 countries, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Libya, the Maldives and Syria.
šµš New Bureau: Dubai International Chamber opened a new representative office in Manila to boost trade and investment ties between Dubai and the Philippines.
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salmanmet with Pakistanās Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in Jeddah on Wednesday to discuss negotiations between the U.S. and Iran.
Qatarās Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad and U.S. President Donald Trumpheld a phone call on Wednesday.
Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed, UAE Vice President, Deputy Prime Minister and Chairman of the Presidential Court, held a phone call withMohammad Baqer Qalibaf, Speaker of the Parliament of Iran, on Wednesday to discuss de-escalation.
Matt CrockerĀ quit as U.S. Soccer’s sporting director just months before the 2026 World Cup to take a senior role with Saudi Arabiaās football federation, highlighting the kingdomās continued push to recruit global sports talent,Ā ESPN reports.
Paolo Zampolli, U.S Special Representative for Global Partnerships, is profiled in The Financial Times as U.S. President Donald Trumpās longtime dealmaker, accustomed to blending power with money.Ā
Mohammed Al-Jadaan, Saudi Arabiaās Finance Minister, said at a meeting of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in Washington, D.C. on Tuesday that the kingdom is pressing ahead with fiscal reforms and global economic engagement despite regional tensions.
Ali bin Ahmed Al Kuwari, Qatarās Finance Minister, said on Wednesday that the latest oil price increases are just the ātip of the iceberg,ā and that the full economic consequences of the Iran war are likely to hit globally by May or June 2026.
Reem Al Hashimy, the UAE Minister of State for International Cooperation, said at the Semafor World Economy conference in Washington, D.C. on Wednesday that the Strait of Hormuz should not be under anyoneās control, and reopening it as a free and open waterway is the UAEās top priority in any security agreement between Iran and the U.S.
David Lynn was appointed CEO of inD, the joint venture between Informa and Dubai World Trade Centre. He previously was the President and CEO of ViacomCBS Networks International (now Paramount International).
Patrick Janywas appointed CFO of Borouge Group International. He was previously Executive Vice President and CFO of A.P. Moller-Maersk.
š¶ Culture Circuit
šBackseat Driver: Dubai is taking a novel approach to road safety with an appeal to road users to drive āas if their mother was in the car.ā In a promotional film, Emirati personality Khaseibah uses a motherly tone to police a young driver as he navigates the roads, preventing him from taking risky decisions. The film launched by the Dubai Police and Road and Transport Authority is aimed at addressing serious road offenses, including tailgating, sudden lane changes and distracted driving.
š· Photo of the Day
Yasir Al-Rumayyan, Governor of Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, addresses a press conference in Riyadh on Wednesday in which he laid out details of the sovereign wealth fundās 2026-2030 strategy (Saudi Press Agency)
š Circuit Calendar
April 20-22, Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi Global Entrepreneurship Festival 2026. Bringing entrepreneurs, investors and experts to support innovation, partnerships and economic diversification. Abu Dhabi Energy Centre.
April 20-22, Riyadh. Future Aviation Forum. Exploring the future of air transport, sustainability, advanced air mobility, and artificial intelligence. King Abdulaziz International Conference Center.
April 23, Dubai. Mawarid FinTech Summit. The event brings together industry leaders, innovators, regulators, and investors shaping the future financial technology across the MENA region. Grand Hyatt Dubai Conference & Exhibition Centre.
April 28-May1, Dubai. World Token Summit. The event brings together regulators, founders, fund managers, and architects of the on-chain economy. Zaabel One.
May 4-7, Abu Dhabi. Make It In The Emirates. The UAEās industrial promotion board celebrates its fifth anniversary. ADNEC.
May 11-13, Abu Dhabi. Ai Everything. A one-day summit combined with a two-day expo explores how AI and humans can work together. ADNEC.
May 12-14, Dubai. Airport Show & Global Airport Leaders Forum. Bringing together top airport suppliers, aviation leaders, and thousands of professionals. Dubai World Trade Center.
May 19-21, Abu Dhabi. World Utilities Congress. Global policymakers, industry leaders and innovators discuss transforming the power, water and utilities sector into resilient, lowācarbon systems ADNEC.
May 19-21, Damascus. Big5 Construct Syria. The inaugural edition of the platform for reconstruction and development. Syria Expo Center.
May 19-21, Riyadh. Middle East Museums & Heritage Expo. Saudi Arabiaās first dedicated museum, heritage and cultural development trade show. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Convention Center.
May 8-24, Dubai. Dubai Esports & Games Festival. More than two weeks of events, tournaments, game launches and free activities citywide, including GameExpo 2026. Dubai World Trade Center.
June 17-19, Rome: FII Priority Europe: Saudi Arabiaās Future Investment Initiative holds a conference focusing on European business links with the Middle East. Cavalieri, Waldorf Astoria Hotel.
The Daily Circuit: Gulf invests in defense + Lucid gets $750M
In todayās Daily Circuit, weāre reporting on Lucid getting a $750 million cash injection from Saudi Arabia and Uber, Bain Capital opening an office in Abu Dhabi, the IMF slashing its MENA growth forecast, and Dubaiās Burj Al Arab hotel shutting down for an 18-month refurbishment. But first, Gulf states are pouring billions into defense and energy investments amid security concerns amplified by war in the Middle East.
Gulf states are ramping up investments and financial support tied to defense and energy, channeling billions of dollars into security-linked companies as the conflict with Iran reshapes priorities across capital markets and government policy.
Abu Dhabi-based BlueFive Capital is planning a $3 billion fund focused on aerospace and defense, targeting companies tied to military and advanced technologies as the UAE positions itself as a hub for security-related investment, Bloomberg reports.
At the same time, Saudi Arabia is reinforcing its geopolitical alliances by providing Pakistan with $3 billion in fresh financing and extending a separate $5 billion deposit, helping Islamabad stabilize its reserves and meet external obligations, including a loan repayment to the UAE.
The support is an indicator of Pakistanās reliance on Gulf backing amid financial strain, with the repayment accounting for a significant share of its foreign reserves and highlighting the strategic role of Gulf capital in regional stability.
Beyond defense and finance, Indonesiaās sovereign wealth fund Danantara is increasing its focus on the Middle East, planning major investments in energy security, critical minerals and infrastructure, as global investors pivot toward assets tied to supply resilience and long-term strategic needs.
Editorās Note: Have thoughts or feedback? Hit reply or drop us a note at [email protected].
š° Developing Stories
CLOUDY FORECAST
The International Monetary Fund slashed its economic forecast for the Middle East and North Africa and said it expects lower global growth, blaming the Iran war for disrupting trade and energy markets. The regionās GDP growth forecast has been cut to 1.1.% in the IMFās latest World Economic Outlook, 2.8 percentage points lower than its January projection for this year. Saudi Arabia is faring better than other countries, while the economies of Iran, Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait and Qatar are now expected to ācontract, Reuters reports. Growth is expected to rebound to 4.8% by 2027, presuming energy production and transportation return to normal over the next few months. “MENA countries are facing unprecedented challenges, exceptional uncertainty in their outlook,” IMF Deputy Managing Director Bo Li said during a panel discussion in Washington.
EV SHUFFLE
Electric vehicle maker Lucid named a new CEO as Saudi Arabiaās Public Investment Fund and Uber committed another $750 million to support the struggling Silicon Valley-based company. Silvio Napoli, the former head of Swiss elevator manufacturer Schindler Holding, was appointed chief of Lucid, replacing Marc Winterhoff, who has served as interim CEO since February 2025. Winterhoff returns to the role of Chief Operating Officer. In other automotive developments, sales of Nissan and Stellantis vehicles in the Middle East have dropped by roughly 40-60% ā about half of prewar levels ā primarily due to weakened demand resulting from the conflict, The Financial Times reports.
š² Sovereign Circuit
Lāimad Holding: Abu Dhabi-based shipping conglomerate AD Ports, which is owned by the sovereign wealth fund, signed an agreement with Romaniaās National Company Maritime Ports Administration, the administrator of the Port of ConstanČa, the Black Seaās largest port, to explore investments.
Oman Investment Authority: Omanās OQ Exploration and Production, part of OIA, said it plans to acquire Amsterdam-based Mitsui E&P Middle East B.V.ās 35% stake in a site designated Block 27 for $75 million.
Norwegian Government Pension Fund Global: Norway is moving to lift a ban on its $2.2 trillion sovereign wealth fund investing in Syrian government bonds, while adding Iran to its exclusion list in a largely symbolic shift, Reuters reports.
š° Consumer VC: Homegrown Ventures, a UAE-based company, closed its debut $22.8 million fund to invest in early-stage consumer brands across different sectors.
š Boutique Blues: Gucci reported an 8% drop in first-quarter sales, which it attributed in part to the Middle East conflictās impact on tourism and demand for luxury goods. Hermes sales growth slumped 5.6%.
š¶ Asset Departure: Kuwaiti National Investment Holding, a subsidiary of National Real Estate Co., will sell its entire 50% stake in Maltaās Mediterranean Investments Holding to two buyers for $87 million.
š£ Circuit Chatter
š Regional Expansion: Bain Capital plans to open an Abu Dhabi office with an initial team of 5-10 people in ADGM, marking one of the first regional expansions by a major financial firm since the war.
šø Market Freeze: Global companies, including London-based Loveholidays and Turkish Airlines, are delaying IPOs and cutting dividends as the Middle East conflict rattles markets, disrupts supply chains and weakens investor confidence, Reuters reports.
š¤ Metal Rebound: Copper rebounded to erase war-driven losses, rising on renewed risk appetite fueled by ceasefire hopes, U.S.-Iran peace talks and improving Chinese demand.
āļø Missed Opportunity: Lufthansa has grounded hundreds of flights and limited operations due to ongoing crew strikes just as it was hoping to take advantage of increased demand caused by disruptions to Gulf airlines amid the Iran war, The Financial Times reports.
š Power Circuit
UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed met on Tuesday with António Costa, President of the European Council, who is visiting the UAE as part of a regional tour.
Qatarās Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad held a phone call withOman’s Sultan Haitham bin Tariq on Tuesday to discuss regional events.
Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed, UAE Vice President, Deputy Prime Minister and Chairman of the Presidential Court, met withJamshid Khodjaev, Deputy Prime Minister of Uzbekistan, and his accompanying delegation at Qasr Al Watan in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday.
āæ On the Circuit
Fatih Birol, the head of the International Energy Agency, said during spring meetings at the Atlantic Council in Washington that the world is becoming a dangerous place, noting that more than 80 facilities have been damaged, including oilfields, refineries and terminals.
Ali bin Ahmed Al Kuwari, Qatarās Minister of Finance, held a series of bilateral meetings with a number of officials from global financial institutions and banks in New York City during his current visit to the U.S.
Hadi Badri, CEO of Dubai Economic Development Corp., said during the Semafor World Economy Summit in Washington that most people have stayed in Dubai ādespite what some tabloids overseas have been saying.ā
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio leads a meeting at the State Department in Washington, D.C., with Lebanon’s Ambassador to the U.S., Nada Moawad (right), and Israeli Ambassador to the U.S., Yechiel Leiter (left), aimed at brokering a ceasefire. (Oliver Contreras / AFP via Getty Images)
š Circuit Calendar
April 20-22, Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi Global Entrepreneurship Festival 2026. Bringing entrepreneurs, investors and experts to support innovation, partnerships and economic diversification. Abu Dhabi Energy Centre.
April 20-22, Riyadh. Future Aviation Forum. Exploring the future of air transport, sustainability, advanced air mobility, and artificial intelligence. King Abdulaziz International Conference Center.
May 4-7, Abu Dhabi. Make It In The Emirates. The UAEās industrial promotion board celebrates its fifth anniversary. ADNEC.
May 11-13, Abu Dhabi. Ai Everything. A one day summit combined with a two-day expo explores how AI and humans can work together. ADNEC.
May 12-14, Dubai. Airport Show & Global Airport Leaders Forum. Bringing together top airport suppliers, aviation leaders, and thousands of professionals. Dubai World Trade Center.
May 19-21, Abu Dhabi. World Utilities Congress. Global policymakers, industry leaders and innovators discuss transforming the power, water and utilities sector into resilient, lowācarbon systems ADNEC.
May 19-21, Damascus. Big5 Construct Syria. The inaugural edition of the platform for reconstruction and development. Syria Expo Center.
May 19-21, Riyadh. Middle East Museums & Heritage Expo. Saudi Arabiaās first dedicated museums, heritage and cultural development trade show. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Convention Center.
May 8-24, Dubai. Dubai Esports & Games Festival. More than two weeks of events, tournaments, game launches and free activities citywide, including GameExpo 2026. Dubai World Trade Center.
The Daily Circuit: KBM meets Xi in Beijing + OPEC production slide
In todayās Daily Circuit, weāre reporting on Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed’s meeting in Beijing with China’s President Xi Jinping, the war-connected dive in OPEC oil production, efforts by Brazilās Petrobras to repurchase a refinery previously sold to Mubadala, and Riyadh opening bids for naming rights to five stations on its Metro. But first, Gulf expats are scouting for homes in Monaco and paying a fortune for second passports in the Caribbean.
Expats in the Middle East are shopping for second homes in Europe and paying hundreds of thousands of dollars for second passports as the Iran war fuels safety concerns and drives demand for stable overseas assets.
Hotspots for house-shoppers include London, Paris, Geneva and Monaco, which are seeing increased interest from expats living in the UAE, Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states, Bloomberg reports.
Buyers are focusing on prime, ready-to-move-in properties and working through family offices and brokers to secure residences quickly, with some shifting funds out of the region as security risks rise and travel patterns change.
In parallel, demand from UAE expats for passports from other countries has increased since the start of the war, Arabian Gulf Business Insight reports. It cites an Indian-Arab family of four that secured citizenship in St. Kitts and Nevis under a government program that charged about $270,000.
Meanwhile, U.K. Chancellor Rachel Reeves is seeking to attract expats from the Gulf by promoting Britain as a safe haven and repairing relationships strained by recent tax changes, The Financial Times reports. She plans to revisit tax rules that currently risk double taxation on income from U.S. LLCs for those relocating to the U.K., according to the FT.
Editorās Note: Have thoughts or feedback? Hit reply or drop us a note at [email protected].
š° Developing Stories
PLUNGING PRODUCTION
As prices hover around the $100-a-barrel mark, OPEC is reporting a steep decline in oil production attributed to the Iran war, which has blocked sea routes and damaged infrastructure.Looking further ahead, the International Energy Agency said oil demand will decline this year for the first time since the 2020 pandemic as the surge in prices restricts growth. āThe Iran war has thoroughly upended the global outlook for oil consumption,ā the IEA says in its monthly report. āDemand destruction will spread as scarcity and higher prices persist.āThe paralysis of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has also sent aluminum prices soaring to a four-year high, stoked by the stalling of U.S. peace talks with Iran that have increased concerns over supply chains.
REINVENTING TOURISM
UAE tourism needs to āreinvent itselfā to recover from the impact of regional war, officials and hospitality players told a special meeting convened to address the industry in crisis. From the dazzling Dubai Gold Souk and Burj Khalifa to Abu Dhabiās cluster of brand new museums, the normally bustling sites that are the engine of the countryās tourism economy have fallen quiet since the start of the war. At a newly formed Tourism Majlis, organized by the Ministry of Economy and Tourism, leaders gathered to confront a sharp drop in visitors following the Iran crisis and share ideas to shape a coordinated recovery plan. Chaired by Ras Al Khaimah Ruler Sheikh Saud bin Saqr Al Qasimi, the discussion stressed that recovery would require a clear, unified strategy rather than quick fixes, with a focus on collaboration across all seven emirates.
š² Sovereign Circuit
Mubadala: Brazilian state-run oil firm Petrobras is in initial negotiations with Abu Dhabiās Mubadala to repurchase the Mataripe refinery in Brazil, Reuters reports.
Public Investment Fund: flyadeal, Saudi Arabiaās low-cost airline owned by the PIF, is launching scheduled flights between Jeddah and Dubai and restoring its route between Riyadh and Dubai that was suspended during the war with Iran.
Qatar Investment Authority: Golden Goose, the luxury Italian sneaker brand which counts the QIA among its shareholders, is marketing a $1 billion bond sale to prepare for its acquisition by Chinese private equity firm HSG.
Qatar Investment Authority: Al Rayan Bank, whose shareholders include QIA, intends to increase its capital to $67.6 million in its U.K. subsidiary.
š¤ AI Bet: Golden Gate Venturesā MENA fund invested an undisclosed amount in Invisible Technologies, a San Francisco-based AI company.
š Mineral Push: Botswana signed agreements with Oman to explore energy and mineral resources during a visit to the sultanate this week by Botswana’s President Duma Boko.
š Metro Branding: The city of Riyadh launched bids for naming rights to five metro stations, opening a new revenue stream as the kingdom expands its public transport network.
š£ Circuit Chatter
šµ Debt Relief: The Central Bank of Bahrain will defer loans and provide liquidity of up to $18.5 billion to support Bahrainās economy and the financial sector.
š¢ Swiss Outpost: Finreon, a Swiss quantitative asset manager, expanded to the Middle East by opening a representative office in the Dubai International Financial Centre.
š² Funding Terrorism: French cement company Lafarge was fined $1.2 million by a court in Paris, and former CEO Bruno Lafont was sentenced to six years in prison for paying ISIS and other armed groups protection money in Syria.
šŗ Standing Strong: More than 1,000 film and TV figures, including Joaquin Phoenix, Ben Stiller, and Kristen Stewart, signed an open letter opposing Paramount Skydanceās Gulf-backed planned acquisition of Warner Bros.
š Power Circuit
UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed met with King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa of Bahrain during his trip to Manama on Monday.
Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, met in Beijing with Chinaās President Xi Jinping. The meeting was also attended by Sheikh Zayed bin Mohamed, the son of UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed; Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Special Envoy of the UAE President to China and Managing Director and Group CEO of Mubadala; Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology and ADNOC Group CEO; Mohamed Hassan Alsuwaidi, Minister of Investment; Dr. Thani Al Zeyoudi, Minister of Foreign Trade; and Lana Nusseibeh, Minister of State at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed, UAE Minister of Foreign Affairs, met with Ayman Safadi, Jordanās Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates, on Monday in Abu Dhabi to discuss regional developments and security challenges.
āæ On the Circuit
Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Special Envoy of the UAE President to China and Managing Director and Group CEO of Mubadala, held a meeting on Monday in Beijing with Wang Yi, Chinaās Minister of Foreign Affairs.
Abdulla bin Touq, UAE Minister of Economy and Tourism, met with an Uzbek delegation including Jamshid Khodjaev, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Investment and Foreign Trade, and Laziz Kudratov, Minister of Investment, Industry and Trade, on Monday.
Khaled Darwish, HSBCās Head of Debt Capital Markets for Central and Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa, will join Bank of America as Head of Middle East and North Africa Corporate Banking in Dubai, Bloomberg reports.
š¶ Culture Circuit
š½ļø Quiet Night Out: Restaurants and chefs across the UAE are adapting to a new reality as regional conflict and a lack of tourists reshapes the hospitality industry. Customers are trading in flashy high-end experiences for quieter, neighborhood dinners, The National reports. As a result, venues are making subtle changes to cater to more intimate gatherings, from introducing warmer lighting and softer music to slowing down the pace of the food service. “Itās less about volume and more about intention,” Sven Mostegl, founder of Sven The Baker’s Kitchen in Dubai, told the newspaper. āThereās a quieter, more grounded energy in the room.ā
š· Photo of the Day
Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed meets with Chinaās President Xi Jinping today during his visit to China. (Emirates News Agency)
š Circuit Calendar
April 20-22, Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi Global Entrepreneurship Festival 2026. Bringing entrepreneurs, investors and experts to support innovation, partnerships and economic diversification. Abu Dhabi Energy Centre.
April 20-22, Riyadh. Future Aviation Forum. Exploring the future of air transport, sustainability, advanced air mobility, and artificial intelligence. King Abdulaziz International Conference Center.
May 4-7, Abu Dhabi. Make It In The Emirates. The UAEās industrial promotion board celebrates its fifth anniversary. ADNEC.
May 11-13, Abu Dhabi. Ai Everything. A one day summit combined with a two-day expo explores how AI and humans can work together. ADNEC.
May 12-14, Dubai. Airport Show & Global Airport Leaders Forum. Bringing together top airport suppliers, aviation leaders, and thousands of professionals. Dubai World Trade Center.
May 19-21, Abu Dhabi. World Utilities Congress. Global policymakers, industry leaders and innovators discuss transforming the power, water and utilities sector into resilient, lowācarbon systems ADNEC.
May 19-21, Damascus. Big5 Construct Syria. The inaugural edition of the platform for reconstruction and development. Syria Expo Center.
May 19-21, Riyadh. Middle East Museums & Heritage Expo. Saudi Arabiaās first dedicated museums, heritage and cultural development trade show. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Convention Center.
May 8-24, Dubai. Dubai Esports & Games Festival. More than two weeks of events, tournaments, game launches and free activities citywide, including GameExpo 2026. Dubai World Trade Center.
The Daily Circuit: Saudi pipeline patched up + Etihadās China expansion
In todayās Daily Circuit, weāre reporting on Etihad Airways expanding its network in China, Sobha Realty launching a $10.9 billion residential development in Abu Dhabi, Oman opening five new concession areas to oil and gas companies, and a steep slide in sales of luxury goods at UAE shopping malls. But first, Saudi Arabia patches up its war-damaged oil pipeline.
Saudi Arabia has restored its East-West oil pipeline to full capacity after damage linked to the Iran conflict disrupted flows across the kingdom.
Repairs to the pipeline, which runs from oil fields in Saudi Arabiaās Eastern Province to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, were completed after attacks reduced throughput, making the desert route a critical alternative that allows exports to bypass the Strait of Hormuz.
The restoration adds about 7 million barrels back to state-owned Saudi Aramcoās daily oil shipments, strengthening its ability to fulfill orders to global markets even as security risks persist in Gulf shipping lanes.
Meanwhile, Saudi Arabiaās crude shipments to China are set to drop by about half next month to roughly 20 million barrels, down from around 40 million in April, Bloomberg reports.
The decline reflects sharply higher official selling prices and constrained export routes, with some cargoes rerouted via the East-West pipeline to the Red Sea.
Editorās Note: Have thoughts or feedback? Hit reply or drop us a note at [email protected].
š° Developing Stories
TROUBLED LUXURY
Faltering sales in Dubai are threatening a much-needed recovery for the luxury retail market, just as LVMH, Kering and HermĆØs prepare to report earnings. Revenues at Mall of the Emirates were down 30-50% for some brands in March compared to the same period last year, while footfall declines across flagship retail hubs, including a steeper slump at Dubai Mall, point to a broader pullback in discretionary spending among tourists and residents alike. Even relatively resilient locations such as The Galleria Al Maryah Island in Abu Dhabi recorded weaker sales, suggesting the downturn is spreading beyond Dubaiās tourism-dependent economy. The figures cast doubt on the Middle Eastās role as a rare growth engine for luxury brands, as geopolitical tensions threaten to delay an already fragile global recovery in the sector, Reuters reports.
BUYING MAYFAIR
Famed London venues including celebrity haunt Annabelās and the Ivy restaurant chain are now in the hands of Abu Dhabiās royal family. A unit of International Holding Co., the vast conglomerate led by UAE National Security Advisor Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, purchased a majority stake in British businessman Richard Caringās hospitality business in a deal valued at around $1.4 billion. The deal includes a portfolio of luxury restaurants and clubs, including the decadent and exclusive Annabelās, the only nightclub ever visited by Queen Elizabeth II. Caring will stay on as Executive Chairman and will lead an international expansion in collaboration with IHC unit Diafa, which already owns high-end restaurants including Zuma and Roka via U.K.-headquartered Azumi Group, Arabian Business Insight reports.
š² Sovereign Circuit
Mubadala:Emirates Global Aluminium, a conglomerate owned by the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund, declared force majeure for certain products after war-related damage to its Al Taweelah plant.
Qatar Energy: TotalEnergies E&P Congo, in which QatarEnergy is a shareholder, announced a new hydrocarbon discovery off the coast of Congo.
Lāimad Holding: Etihad Airways, part of Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund Lāimad Holding, announced an expansion of its mainland China network, with five new routes and 28 additional weekly flights.
š Railway Business: Saudi Railways launched five new freight logistics routes to connect ports along the Arabian Gulf with central and northern regions of the kingdom.
āļø Jet Deployment: Pakistan sent fighter jets to Saudi Arabia under a defense pact to strengthen the kingdomās security during the regional conflict.
šļø Master Plan: UAE-based luxury developer Sobha Realty announced today its entry into the Abu Dhabi market with the launch of $10.9 billion Sobha City, a master-planned residential community located in Al Bahia.
š£ Circuit Chatter
ā” Energy Coverage: Equity research firm Bernstein initiated coverage of the MENA energy sector, naming ADNOC Gas and Fertiglobe as its two top picks.
š° Sum Seeker: Pakistan is in talks with Saudi Arabia and China to step in and provide financing of more than $3.5 billion after the UAE declined to roll over a similar-sized loan,Bloomberg reports.
š” Bubble Burst: New rental contracts in Dubai fell sharply in March as regional tensions linked to the Israel-U.S. war with Iran weighed on demand.
ā½ Gas Fields: Omanās Ministry of Energy and Minerals is offering five concession areas in the oil and gas sector for competition among local and international petroleum companies.
š Power Circuit
UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed met with Indiaās Minister of External Affairs Subrahmanyam Jaishankar in Abu Dhabi on Sunday to discuss regional developments.
Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, arrived in Beijing on Monday for an official visit.
Sheikh Maktoum bin Mohammed, UAE Minister of Finance and Chairman of the Dubai International Financial Centre,met withBruce Flatt, CEO of Toronto-based asset manager Brookfield Corp., to discuss investment cooperation.
āæ On the Circuit
Badr Jafar, Special Envoy of the UAE Minister of Foreign Affairs for Business and Philanthropy, wrote in an opinion column for The New York Times that āoil for securityā is no longer the sole basis for the UAE-U.S. relationship. āIt is a 360-degree partnership ā economic, technological, cultural and human ā that has been built quietly over decades by businesses, universities, hospitals and millions of individual choices,ā Jafar writes.
Francis Belin, CEO of Mytheresa, told the Financial Times that the luxury retailer is eyeing further expansion in the Middle East despite the ongoing war.
Bader Al-Ghanim was appointed as food delivery company Talabatās Chief International Officer, a newly established role aimed at strengthening collaboration and driving consistent execution across markets within the MENA region.
š¶ Culture Circuit
š¤ Yodeling Mishap: American singer-songwriter and actress Sabrina Carpenter has apologized after mistaking an Arabic celebratory ululation from a fan as yodeling during her performance at Coachella on Friday. Clips from the set showed Carpenter reacting to a fan performing a zaghrouta. āI think I heard someone yodel. Is that what youāre doing? I donāt like it,ā she said on stage. Carpenter later wrote on social media platform X that she had learned what it was and āwelcomed all cheers and yodels from here on out.ā
š· Photo of the Day
Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed arrived in Beijing today for an official visit to China. (Emirates News Agency)
š Circuit Calendar
April 20-22, Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi Global Entrepreneurship Festival 2026. Bringing entrepreneurs, investors and experts to support innovation, partnerships and economic diversification. Abu Dhabi Energy Centre.
April 20-22, Riyadh. Future Aviation Forum. Exploring the future of air transport, sustainability, advanced air mobility, and artificial intelligence. King Abdulaziz International Conference Center.
May 4-7, Abu Dhabi. Make It In The Emirates. The UAEās industrial promotion board celebrates its fifth anniversary. ADNEC.
May 11-13, Abu Dhabi. Ai Everything. A one day summit combined with a two-day expo explores how AI and humans can work together. ADNEC.
May 12-14, Dubai. Airport Show & Global Airport Leaders Forum. Bringing together top airport suppliers, aviation leaders, and thousands of professionals. Dubai World Trade Center.
May 19-21, Abu Dhabi. World Utilities Congress. Global policymakers, industry leaders and innovators discuss transforming the power, water and utilities sector into resilient, lowācarbon systems ADNEC.
May 19-21, Damascus. Big5 Construct Syria. The inaugural edition of the platform for reconstruction and development. Syria Expo Center.
May 19-21, Riyadh. Middle East Museums & Heritage Expo. Saudi Arabiaās first dedicated museums, heritage and cultural development trade show. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Convention Center.
May 8-24, Dubai. Dubai Esports & Games Festival. More than two weeks of events, tournaments, game launches and free activities citywide, including GameExpo 2026. Dubai World Trade Center.
The Daily Circuit: Aramco-TotalEnergies refinery hit earlier this week
In todayās Daily Circuit, weāre reporting on Gulf countries lining up to buy Ukraineās battle-tested drones, Dubai Aerospace teaming up with Blackstone to finance its aircraft business, growing U.K. investment in Oman, and an array of films backed by Saudi Arabiaās Red Sea Film Foundation headed for Cannes. But first, further war damage at Saudi oil installations.
TotalEnergies said today a processing unit at its SATORP refinery in eastern Saudi Arabia was damaged, forcing a shutdown amid the Iranian assault on Saudi energy infrastructure.
The facility, a joint venture between the Paris-based oil and gas company and Saudi Aramco, is one of the kingdomās largest refining and petrochemical complexes, processing about 465,000 barrels a day in the port city of Jubail.
The overnight strikes between Tuesday and Wednesday also hit oilfields, refineries and a pumping station on the East-West pipeline,Ā cutting Saudi production capacityĀ by about 600,000 barrels a day and reducing pipeline flows by roughly 700,000 barrels a day. They came as the ceasefire agreed upon by the U.S. and Iran was due to take effect.
The pipeline, which runs from the Gulf to the Red Sea, has become Saudi Arabiaās main alternative to shipping crude through the Strait of Hormuz, making the damage especially significant as Iran restricts tanker traffic through the waterway.
Oil prices rose following the strikes on Saudi facilities, with markets reacting to the combined loss of production and disruption to alternative export routes.
Editorās Note: Have thoughts or feedback? Hit reply or drop us a note at [email protected].
š° Developing Stories
DRONE DIPLOMACY
Ukraine is expanding the circle of Gulf customers for its battle-tested drone technology. President Volodymyr Zelenskiy told reporters in Kyiv on Thursday that he held discussions in Oman, Kuwait and Bahrain on new military partnerships connected to Ukrainian-developed unmanned aircraft systems, Reuters reports. Ukraine has already negotiated security agreements with Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar while sending more than 200 personnel to the region to advise on interceptor systems and electronic warfare. Zelenskiy said Ukraine is negotiating additional 10-year cooperation frameworks and using its experience in fighting Russia to showcase its ability to shoot down Iranian drones.
SKIN IN THE GAME
Chinaās support for Iran has been tempered by its growing investments across the Middle East, where it has deployed about $270 billion since the pandemic. The region has been a key beneficiary of President Xi Jinpingās Belt & Road initiative, with Chinese investment and construction growing at its fastest pace of anywhere in the world, Bloomberg reports. Between 2014 and 2023, China provided roughly $2.34 in financing to Middle East countries for every $1 provided by the United States, the news agency added. Dubai airport, Jebel Ali power plant and Ras Laffan industrial complex are among the projects that received loans from Chinese state-owned creditors worth about $4.66 billion, according to AidData estimates. China, traditionally one of Iranās biggest allies, has played a key role in convincing the countryās leaders to agree to the two-week ceasefire.
š² Sovereign Circuit
ADNOC: Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, Group CEO and Managing Director of the UAE’s national oil company,Ā posted on XĀ for the first time with the words, āWeāll emerge stronger,ā and the text of the UAEās national anthem.
Mubadala: Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed, UAE Vice President, Deputy Prime Minister, Chairman of the Presidential Court, and Chairman of the sovereign wealth fund, wrote in the annual report that Mubadala is moving forward with a āclear visionā that aligns with the future direction of the UAE.
Oman Investment Authority: Abdulsalam Mohammed Al Murshidi, Chairman of OIA, met with a Libyan delegation to review further joint cooperation, as well as investment opportunities in Libya. Meanwhile, National Bank of Belarus Chairman Raman Halouchanka met with OIAās Chief Investment Officer Ibrahim Al-Eisri on Thursday to discuss potential investments.
Emirates Development Bank: The state-owned bank plans to approve up to $2.45 billion in funding this year to support local industrial growth.
š² New Finance: UAE telecom company du has refinanced its revolving credit facility with a new $545 million agreement led by Emirates NBD and other major banks.
āļø Mutual Benefit: Dubai Aerospace Enterprise and Blackstone Credit & Insurance have agreed to launch a platform to invest $1.6 billion annually in building and leasing a portfolio of commercial aircraft.
š°Foreign Investor: U.K. foreign direct investment in Oman rose 11% to $42 billion in 2025, making it the largest investor, as total FDI surpassed $81 billion.
š£ Circuit Chatter
āļø Flight Cuts: British Airways is cutting Middle East flights and shifting capacity to Asia and Africa as carriers respond to security risks and weaker demand linked to the conflict.
šŖ Flexible Working: Cryptocurrency exchange Binance said it is offering temporary relocation to employees based in the UAE, where it has around 1,000 staff members, Bloomberg reports.
š¦Loan Request: Egypt is considering asking the IMF for a $3 billion loan, as foreign investment declines and economic pressures mount due to rising energy costs linked to the Iran war.
š¢ļø Gas Bet: Egypt committed to buying the full output from Cyprusā Aphrodite gas field, advancing plans to process and re-export offshore gas through its LNG facilities.
šļø Track Delay: The Diamond League season opener track competition in DohaĀ has been postponedĀ from May to June 19 due to security concerns tied to the Middle East conflict.
š Power Circuit
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, the Emir of Qatar,Ā met in DohaĀ today withĀ U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer. The British leader met on Thursday night withĀ King Hamad bin Isa Al KhalifaĀ of Bahrain.
Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and Chairman of the Abu Dhabi Executive Council, met withBruce Flatt, CEO of Brookfield Asset Management.
Prince Faisal bin Farhan, Saudi Foreign Minister, held a phone call with his Pakistani counterpart Mohammad Ishaq Dar on Thursday.
Sheikha Latifa bint Mohammed, Chairperson of the Dubai Culture and Arts Authority, met with key representatives from across Dubaiās cultural and creative ecosystem for a workshop at Etihad Museum on Thursday.
āæ On the Circuit
Mohamed Jameel Al Ramahi, CEO of Masdar, received the Sustainable Markets Initiativeās Terra Carta & Astra Carta Award, presented by King Charles III.
Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the IMF, said the Middle East war could drive demand for as much as $50 billion in additional support from the international finance agency.
Khalaf Al Habtoor, Emirati billionaire and Chairman of Al Habtoor Group, plans to invest $1.4 billion in building a commercial tower within Al Habtoor City in Dubai.
Peter Hoeschele, an OpenAI Executive who played a key role in getting the Stargate effort off the ground, Shamez Hemani, who worked on compute strategy and business development, as well as Anuj Saharan, have all left the company, The Information reports.
š¶ Culture Circuit
š Riviera Relevance: The 2026 Cannes Film Festival, its 79th edition, has unveiled a program spanning Competition, Un Certain Regard and other official sections. Three Red Sea Film Initiative-backed titles have been selected. Among them is āParallel Tales,ā an Asghar Farhadi project supported by the Red Sea Film Foundation. The film, a reinterpretation of Krzysztof KieÅlowskiās āDekalog VI,ā features an ensemble cast including Isabelle Huppert, Virginie Efira, Vincent Cassel, Pierre Niney, Adam Bessa and Catherine Deneuve.
š· Photo of the Day
Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer is welcomed in an airport ceremony upon his arrival on Thursday in Bahrain. (Alastair Grant – WPA Pool/Getty Images)
š Circuit Calendar
April 7-9, Marrakesh. GITEX Africa. Africaās biggest tech and startup conference. Place Bab Jdid on Boulevard AlāÆYarmouk
April 20-22, Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi Global Entrepreneurship Festival 2026. Bringing entrepreneurs, investors and experts to support innovation, partnerships and economic diversification. Abu Dhabi Energy Centre.
April 20-22, Riyadh. Future Aviation Forum. Exploring the future of air transport, sustainability, advanced air mobility, and artificial intelligence. King Abdulaziz International Conference Center.
May 4-7, Abu Dhabi. Make It In The Emirates. The UAEās industrial promotion board celebrates its fifth anniversary. ADNEC.
May 11-13, Abu Dhabi. Ai Everything. A one day summit combined with a two-day expo explores how AI and humans can work together. ADNEC.
May 12-14, Dubai. Airport Show & Global Airport Leaders Forum. Bringing together top airport suppliers, aviation leaders, and thousands of professionals. Dubai World Trade Center.
May 19-21, Abu Dhabi. World Utilities Congress. Global policymakers, industry leaders and innovators discuss transforming the power, water and utilities sector into resilient, lowācarbon systems ADNEC.
May 19-21, Damascus. Big5 Construct Syria. The inaugural edition of the platform for reconstruction and development. Syria Expo Center.
May 19-21, Riyadh. Middle East Museums & Heritage Expo. Saudi Arabiaās first dedicated museums, heritage and cultural development trade show. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Convention Center.
May 8-24, Dubai. Dubai Esports & Games Festival. More than two weeks of events, tournaments, game launches and free activities citywide, including GameExpo 2026. Dubai World Trade Center.
The Daily Circuit: ADNOCās Al Jaber says Strait must open + Mubadala asset growth
In todayās Daily Circuit, weāre reporting on Mubadalaās growing assets under management, ADIAās U.S. investment in womenās health, Saudi Arabiaās flyadeal adding a new route to Neom and new oil and gas discoveries in Libya. But first, Iran’s opening of the Strait of Hormuz comes with conditions.
The UAEās top oil executive said the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively shut despite a two-day-old ceasefire, and demanded that Iran open access to the Gulf waterway āwith no strings attached.ā
Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, Group CEO of ADNOC and the UAE Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology, cited damage to the companyās oil facilities during the six-week war between the U.S., Israel and Iran, and condemned Iranās insistence that any passage of ships be under its supervision.
āConditional passage is not passage ā it is control by another name,āAl Jaber said in a statement posted today on LinkedIn. āEnergy security and global economic stability depend on it.ā
Iran has designated two safe routes for vessels entering and exiting Hormuz, which were established to avoid the potential presence of sea mines in the area, Bloomberg reported, citing Iranās state-run Nour News.
The head of the International Maritime Organization, Arsenio Dominguez, meanwhile, condemned Iranās imposition of fees crossing the Strait of Hormuz, telling Bloomberg, āWe donāt even know if it guarantees the safety of the ships.ā
Editorās Note: Have thoughts or feedback? Hit reply or drop us a note at [email protected].
š° Developing Stories
COMING HOME
Bankers at firms including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and HSBC are weighing a return to the UAE following the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, after weeks in which staff were told to work remotely or temporarily relocate. Executives are now evaluating when to resume dealmaking, client meetings and on-the-ground staffing as conditions stabilize, Bloomberg reports. The timing of any return will depend on confidence that security has improved and that the rebound in Gulf markets and transactions can be sustained. Some investors say the UAEās infrastructure and governance will help it recover, pointing to registrations at the ADGM, which rose 5% in March while Iranian missiles were targeting Abu Dhabi.
SOVEREIGN SURGE
Abu Dhabiās Mubadala sovereign wealth fund said assets under management rose 17% to $385 billion in 2025. The fund said in a statement issued today that the U.S. accounted for 44% of its investments last year and 25% was spent in the UAE. Mubadala, which has major UAE holdings including tech firm G42, Aldar Properties and renewable energy company Masdar, said it will pursue new opportunities this year in artificial intelligence, robotics and data centers. Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Mubadalaās Managing Director and Group CEO, said the fund āremains resilient and well positioned to weather the current challenges facing the regional and global economy.ā
š² Sovereign Circuit
Mubadala Capital: The sovereign wealth fundās finance arm closed its largest Brazil-focused fund, Brazil Special Opportunities Fund III, at about $900 million, above its $750 million target, with strong backing from international investors and continued commitment to Brazil.
Abu Dhabi Investment Authority: ADIA has completed its minority stake investment in the $18.3 billion acquisition of U.S.-based womenās health company Hologic, alongside major private equity minority investors Blackstone, TPG, and GIC.
Lāimad Holding: Etihad Airways, a unit of the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund, will launch flights to Dhaka, Bangladesh, as part of its plan to boost connections to South Asia.
EDGE: Ukraineās antitrust authority rejected an application by the UAE-owned defense contractor to acquire a 30% stake in drone maker Fire Point, saying the filing did not meet review requirements and leaving the proposed $760 million deal in limbo, Reuters reports.
2PointZero: A subsidiary of the Abu Dhabi based investment company will partner with Adani Green on renewable energy projects in India.
š„ New Venture: Egypt-based Polyserve Group will develop a $215 million phosphate chemicals project in the Sokhna Industrial Zone, with an annual production capacity of up to 3.5 million tonnes.
šŖØ More Phosphate: Singapore-based Indorama Corporation partnered with Egyptās Misr Phosphate to develop a $525 million phosphate fertilizer plant in Sokhna Industrial Zone.
āļø Cloud Deal: Nvidia-backed Amsterdam-based cloud provider Nebius is in talks to buy Israeli-based artificial intelligence startup AI21 Labs, The Information reports.
š£ Circuit Chatter
āļø Neom Link: Flyadeal, the low-cost subsidiary of Saudia airline, is expanding its fleet and adding new routes, including a service from Riyadh to Neom four times a week.
š± Currency Exchange: The UAE and Bahrain central banks signed a $5.5 billion currency swap agreement to boost local-currency use, financial cooperation and bilateral trade and investment.
š Outforming Shares: Saudi institutions have become major buyers of domestic equities, purchasing $1.9 billion in March, helping the Tadawul index outperform Gulf peers during the Iran war after a prolonged period of reduced stock exposure.
š¾ Bottle Stopper: Australian packaging company Orora, which produces bottles for brands including Grey Goose Vodka, halted production at its UAE plant due to the Iran conflict.
š¢ Striking Oil: Libya has announced three new oil and gas discoveries as it pushes to boost hydrocarbon production and attract further investment.
š Power Circuit
UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed is expected to meet with U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who arrived in the UAE today on the second leg of his Gulf trip. Starmer met with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah on Wednesday.
Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, UAE Vice-PresidentĀ and Ruler of Dubai, paid a surprise visit to Primark’s first UAE outlet at Dubai Mall.
Prince Faisal bin Farhan, Saudi Arabiaās Foreign Minister, met withKaja Kallas, EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy and Vice-President of the European Commission.
āæ On the Circuit
Dr. Thani Al Zeyoudi, UAE Minister of Foreign Trade, chaired a high-level coordination meeting hosted by the Ports, Customs and Free Zone Corporation at its headquarters in Dubai.
Sanjay Vigwas appointed CEO of Al Mal Capital, a UAEābased investment management and financial advisory firm.
Hakim Karoui was appointed by Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank as Global Head of its wholesale banking group.
Ben Salahwas appointed Chief Investment Officer at IMI, a media company headquartered in the UAE.
š¶ Culture Circuit
š Face Value: Homegrown Saudi Arabian beauty brands are reshaping the countryās cosmetics industry by blending modern pharmaceutical science with cultural heritage. The market is now seeing a surge of locally-made products putting a Saudi spin on the latest fashions, Arab News reports. āOur authenticity is the base, and from there we build around what the modern consumer actually needs,ā Rana Banafa, founder of beauty brand Mraya said. āWe look at global trends, but we filter them through our lifestyle, our preferences, and how beauty is used here. Itās about making trends feel relevant, not imported.ā
š· Photo of the Day
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is welcomed by Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Chairman of the UAE Executive Affairs Authority and Mubadala Managing Director and Group CEO, upon his arrival in Abu Dhabi today. (Alastair Grant / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)
š Circuit Calendar
April 7-9, Marrakesh. GITEX Africa. Africaās biggest tech and startup conference. Place Bab Jdid on Boulevard AlāÆYarmouk
April 20-22, Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi Global Entrepreneurship Festival 2026. Bringing entrepreneurs, investors and experts to support innovation, partnerships and economic diversification. Abu Dhabi Energy Centre.
April 20-22, Riyadh. Future Aviation Forum. Exploring the future of air transport, sustainability, advanced air mobility, and artificial intelligence. King Abdulaziz International Conference Center.
May 4-7, Abu Dhabi. Make It In The Emirates. The UAEās industrial promotion board celebrates its fifth anniversary. ADNEC.
May 11-13, Abu Dhabi. Ai Everything. A one day summit combined with a two-day expo explores how AI and humans can work together. ADNEC.
May 12-14, Dubai. Airport Show & Global Airport Leaders Forum. Bringing together top airport suppliers, aviation leaders, and thousands of professionals. Dubai World Trade Center.
May 19-21, Abu Dhabi. World Utilities Congress. Global policymakers, industry leaders and innovators discuss transforming the power, water and utilities sector into resilient, lowācarbon systems ADNEC.
May 19-21, Damascus. Big5 Construct Syria. The inaugural edition of the platform for reconstruction and development. Syria Expo Center.
May 19-21, Riyadh. Middle East Museums & Heritage Expo. Saudi Arabiaās first dedicated museums, heritage and cultural development trade show. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Convention Center.
May 8-24, Dubai. Dubai Esports & Games Festival. More than two weeks of events, tournaments, game launches and free activities citywide, including GameExpo 2026. Dubai World Trade Center.
The Daily Circuit: Markets surge on fragile truce + Shippers eye Hormuz
In todayās Daily Circuit, weāre reporting on Eniās major gas discovery off Egypt, Mubadala Capital raising $1 billion for its third Brazil fund, AD Ports refinancing a $2.5 billion loan, Jordan launching a $1 billion stimulus package to support struggling tourism businesses, and Doha postponing the Qatar Economic Forum. But first, relief mixes with doubt as a fragile peace is agreed upon with Iran.
Dubaiās stock market saw its biggest surge in more than a decade and oil prices fell back below $100 a barrel today after the U.S. and Iran announced a two-week ceasefire and an agreement to temporarily reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
But even as investors were rejoicing at the prospect of a break in hostilities, the UAE and Kuwait continued to intercept missile and drone attacks from Iran hours after the announcement, casting some doubt on its effectiveness.
In Kuwait, air defenses intercepted 28 drones over several hours, with some strikes causing significant damage to oil infrastructure, electricity plants and water facilities, The National reports. Iran also reported an āenemy attackā on one of its oil refineries, located on Lavan Island.Ā
Abu Dhabi suspended operations at its Habshan gas complex this morning for a third timesince the start of the conflict, after debris from an intercepted projectile caused multiple fires and minor injuries to three people.
Brent fell more than 13% to trade around $95 a barrel following news of the ceasefire, and the Dubai Financial Market General Index jumped as much as 8.5%, with real estate and bank shares leading the gains. Emaar, the Dubai developer behind the Burj Khalifa, saw gains of almost 12%, while the UAEās biggest bank Emirates NBD was up more than 8%.
Editorās Note: Have thoughts or feedback? Hit reply or drop us a note at [email protected].
š° Developing Stories
LESS DIRE STRAIT
Global shipping firms remained wary of crossing the Strait of Hormuz, while cautiously welcoming news of a two-week ceasefire on Wednesday. Maersk said it was working urgently to get more information and was not making specific changes to its schedule yet. āThe cease-fire may create transit opportunities, but it does not yet provide full maritime certainty and we need to understand all potential conditions attached,ā the Danish logistics giant said in a statement. Maritime insurance company Vanguard urged shipping companies to exercise caution and assess all transits on a case-by-case basis. āAll vessels are advised to remain aware of the extreme navigational hazards that could arise from attempts to mass exodus from the Strait,ā it said.
ENERGY SUPPLY
Italyās Eni has announced a gas and condensate discovery offshore Egypt that could help meet rising power demand in the Arab worldās most populous nation. The find in the eastern Mediterranean is estimated to hold about 2tn cubic feet of gas and 130mn barrels of condensates. Eni said the site lies within 10km of existing infrastructure, enabling a potential fast-track development, though it gave no timeline for production. The company said the discovery supports Egyptās efforts to boost reserves, raise output and strengthen energy security. Meanwhile, the resumption of Israeli gas exports to Egypt has offered some relief to the energy crunch Egypt has suffered since the start of the Iran war, though soaring LNG prices mean Cairo still faces high costs. Supplies from Israelās offshore fields have returned to near pre-conflict levels, aiding domestic networks and LNG exports.
š² Sovereign Circuit
Lāimad Holding: AD Ports Group signed a deal with First Abu Dhabi Bank and Emirates NBD Capital to refinance its $2.5 billion syndicated loan.
Public Investment Fund: King Street Capital Management and the PIF signed a non-binding agreement in which the PIF will become an anchor of a new private credit fund targeting Saudi Arabia and the wider MENA region.
Mubadala Capital: The Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fundās asset management arm raised almost $1billion for its third Brazil fund, desĀpite conĀcerns that the war in the Middle East will cause Gulf states to review overĀseas investĀments.
Public Investment Fund: Paramount Skydance confirmed via a SEC filing that its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery is backed by Gulf funds, including Saudi Arabiaās PIF, Abu Dhabiās LāImad, and Qatarās QIA and pointed to āstrategic and commercial opportunitiesā presented by each of its equity partners.
G42: Space42, a G42 company, said that all its operations are proceeding normally and without any impact on services after an Iranian missile targeted the Thuraya Telecommunications Company in Sharjah on Tuesday.
š° Lucky Hunch: Egyptian fintech Lucky raised $23 million in Series B funding to expand its consumer credit platform across North Africa.
š¤ Helping Hands: Jordan has launched a $1 billion stimulus package to boost bank liquidity and support struggling tourism businesses amid the regional conflict.
ā Deal Brewing: Kuwaitās Alshaya Group acquired the Starbucks Greece and Cyprus licensed business from the Marinopoulos family, taking its ownership of global Starbucks stores to more than 2,000.
š£ Circuit Chatter
š Date Delayed: Doha has delayed its flagship annual Qatar Economic Forum, which was due to take place in May. New dates will be announced āin due course.
š¶ Lower Fares: Etihad Airways has reduced fares by up to 50% on select global routes, with lower prices available for travel in April through June.
š War Dividend: Shell said its first-quarter results were boosted by strong oil trading despite Middle East assets being hit by the Iran conflict.
šļø Club Vibes: Miami-based luxury beach resort operator Nikki Beach Hospitality Group will open a branch in Marrakesh in 2028, taking up a prime location on the Route de lāOurika.
š Power Circuit
UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed held a phone call with Sanae Takaichi, Prime Minister of Japan, during which they discussed regional developments.
Prince Faisal bin Farhan, Saudi Foreign Minister, held phone calls with both his Bahraini and Pakistani counterparts in separate conversations early Wednesday.
āæ On the Circuit
Dr. Anwar Gargash, diplomatic adviser to the UAE President, said following the ceasefire announcement that the UAE had ātriumphed in a war we sincerely sought to avoid.ā
Willie Walsh, Director General of the International Air Transport Association, told reporters in Singapore ā that jet fuel costs were likely to remain slightly elevated due to the impact on refineries.
Jasem Albudaiwi, GCC Secretary General, warned that regional military escalation could cut tourist arrivals by $8-19 million and cost up to 32 billion in revenue.
Ray Dalio, Founder of Bridgewater Associates, wrote on X about the challenges of the world economy given the ongoing wars.
š¶ Culture Circuit
šØ Open Call: Louvre Abu Dhabi has announced the call for proposals for the sixth edition of Art Here and the Richard Mille Art Prize. This year, artists from India and the GCC are invited to submit proposals around the theme of āConfluences,ā exploring how the world is shaped by overlapping histories, cultures and ecologies. The 2026 Richard Mille Art Prize includes a grand prize of $60,0000. Submissions are open until the end of May.
š· Photo of the Day
Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed, UAE Vice President, Deputy Prime Minister and Chairman of the Presidential Court, chaired Mubadalaās board meeting at Qasr Al Watan in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday. Among those present were Mubadala Managing Director and Group CEO Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Sheikh Theyab bin Mohamed, Deputy Chairman of the Presidential Court for Development and Fallen Heroes’ Affairs, and Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology and Group CEO of ADNOC (Emirates News Agency)
š Circuit Calendar
April 7-9, Marrakesh. GITEX Africa. Africaās biggest tech and startup conference. Place Bab Jdid on Boulevard AlāÆYarmouk
April 20-22, Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi Global Entrepreneurship Festival 2026. Bringing entrepreneurs, investors and experts to support innovation, partnerships and economic diversification. Abu Dhabi Energy Centre.
April 20-22, Riyadh. Future Aviation Forum. Exploring the future of air transport, sustainability, advanced air mobility, and artificial intelligence. King Abdulaziz International Conference Center.
May 4-7, Abu Dhabi. Make It In The Emirates. The UAEās industrial promotion board celebrates its fifth anniversary. ADNEC.
May 11-13, Abu Dhabi. Ai Everything. A one day summit combined with a two-day expo explores how AI and humans can work together. ADNEC.
May 12-14, Dubai. Airport Show & Global Airport Leaders Forum. Bringing together top airport suppliers, aviation leaders, and thousands of professionals. Dubai World Trade Center.
May 19-21, Abu Dhabi. World Utilities Congress. Global policymakers, industry leaders and innovators discuss transforming the power, water and utilities sector into resilient, lowācarbon systems ADNEC.
May 19-21, Damascus. Big5 Construct Syria. The inaugural edition of the platform for reconstruction and development. Syria Expo Center.
May 19-21, Riyadh. Middle East Museums & Heritage Expo. Saudi Arabiaās first dedicated museums, heritage and cultural development trade show. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Convention Center.
May 8-24, Dubai. Dubai Esports & Games Festival. More than two weeks of events, tournaments, game launches and free activities citywide, including GameExpo 2026. Dubai World Trade Center.