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Iran conflict disrupts deals, sports and major business conferences

STAYING PUT

UAE mulls relaxing tax residency rules to lure expats back post-war

The Daily Circuit: Gulf conferences scrambled + Macquarie drops Kuwait bid

TROUBLEd waters

War-risk insurance costs surge for ships entering Strait of Hormuz

DRUG DETOURS

Middle East airspace disruptions risk delaying critical medicines

The Daily Circuit: Hormuz insurance rates soar + Mubadala invests in Loscam

Smoky skyline

Iranian drone attack sparks blaze at Dubai International Airport

FORMULA STUN

Formula One cancels Bahrain, Saudi races over Iran conflict

The Daily Circuit:  F1 scrubs Bahrain, Saudi races +  Blaze at DXB

precious cargo

Air freight rates soar as Middle East conflict disrupts routes

HELIUM SQUEEZE

World helium prices spike as Iran conflict disrupts Qatar processing

The Daily Circuit: Soaring air freight charges + Aramco’s interceptor drones

Trade shock

Gulf states review sovereign wealth funds amid Iran conflict

INSECURITY BENEFITS

Nuclear industry sees revival as Mideast crisis pushes oil to $100

The Daily Circuit: Gulf states review sovereign funds + Citi stay-home order

OIL SAGA

Energy agency weighs record oil release as Iran tensions mount

FERTILIZER CRISIS

Iran crisis sparks farm chemical crunch, threatening food supplies

METROPOLITAN OASIS

Saudi Arabia gets $3.8B foreign investment for King Salman Park

The Daily Circuit: Global oil shock escalates + ADIA-Ardan property platform

GULF BOTTLENECK

Strait of Hormuz traffic plummets amid fears of new Iranian attacks

Quick Hits

The Daily Circuit

The Daily Circuit: Saudi jobs slowdown + Masdar’s Spanish solar deal

RANIA BANDAR AL-SAUD/X

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
Omnia Al Desoukie
March 28, 2025
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👋 Hello from the Middle East!

In the Daily Circuit today, we’re looking at Masdar’s solar purchase in Spain, the minority interest acquired in Khazna data centers by MGX and Silver Lake, Abu Dhabi-based Agthia’s acquisition of Riviere, and customers lining up for a $49 million penthouse in the Burj Khalifa. But first, job growth is slowing in Saudi Arabia.

Across-the-board budget cuts at companies owned by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund are likely to chill employment growth in the kingdom amid declines in oil revenue and foreign investment.

After hitting close to 10% in 2022, growth in recruitment for jobs may slow to 3% by the beginning of next year, a report by the consulting firm JLL Middle East predicts.

The $925 billion sovereign wealth fund has ordered spending cuts across all of its portfolio companies, leading to layoffs, hiring freezes and project delays. Nearly 2 million expatriates have joined the workforce in Saudi Arabia over the past two years, according to government data.

The PIF’s downsizing order reflects the kingdom’s widening budget deficit, which has developed through a decline in both the volume and value of oil exports.

The budget deficit and employment slowdown could also pose challenges for Saudi Arabia as it builds ambitious projects such as Neom and prepares to host major global events including Expo 2030 and the FIFA World Cup, JLL notes.

Eid Mubarak! The Circuit will publish its next issue on Wednesday, April 2, after the holiday. Kindly let us know your thoughts and feedback by replying to this newsletter or emailing us at [email protected].

📰 Developing Stories

ELECTRIFYING AFRICA

Solar mini-grids are introducing electricity to remote African villages and providing opportunities for energy companies in the Gulf. Rollout of the equipment got a boost in January from the World Bank, which launched a program to provide electricity to 300 million Africans by 2030 that could attract some $85 billion in investment, Bloomberg reports. Yariv Cohen, co-founder and CEO of Abu Dhabi-based Ignite Power, said the money puts the continent at an “inflection point.” It comes at a propitious moment for Ignite, which is in the process of acquiring  the African mini-grid business of French utility Engie SA, a key power supplier to Mwale.

SKY PALACE

A duplex penthouse in Dubai’s Burj Khalifa skyscraper that carries a $49 million asking price is attracting interest from American buyers, including basketball players, boxers and Nascar drivers. The apartment on the 107th and 108th floors of the world’s tallest building is unfinished, with its concrete floors and wraparound glass windows waiting to be fit out by its new owner, real estate agent Asad Khan tells Business Insider. Measuring 21,000 square feet, the apartment is being marketed as a “Sky Palace,” with amenities that include a private elevator, an indoor pool and 12 parking spaces. The 163-story Burj Khalifa, which was completed in 2010 by Emaar Properties, stands 2,722 feet and contains a mixture of office, residential, hotel, restaurant and retail space.


💲 Sovereign Circuit

Mubadala: The Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund has increased its investment in U.S. real estate lender 3650 Capital, joining the California State Teachers’ Retirement System in providing $215 million to help the firm broaden its investment products.

Masdar
, the UAE renewable energy firm backed by ADNOC said it bought Valle Solar, one of the largest photovoltaic solar projects in Spain’s Valencia region.

MGX: Abu Dhabi-owned MGX and U.S. private equity firm Silver Lake have acquired a minority stake in Khazna Data Centers following last month’s exit by UAE telecom e&.

↪↩ Closing Circuit

🚰  Water Purchase: The UAE’s Agthia Group has acquired water desalination firm Riviere and plans to triple its household customer base to boost revenue.

🏦 Tech Finance: Dubai-based VEON has obtained a $210 million syndicated loan from ICBC Standard Bank and a consortium of other Gulf lenders for its digital tech business in Pakistan and across Eastern Europe.

⛽  Gas Power: EHC Investment, through its energy arm Emirates International Gas, has fully acquired Al Fanar Gas Group, a UAE gas services provider.

✈️ Airport Stake: Qatar’s Lesha Bank acquired a minority stake in Edinburgh Airport, Scotland’s busiest, through an infrastructure-focused investment fund.

🗣 Circuit Chatter

🍫 Dubai Chocolate: British supermarket chain Waitrose is rationing the knafeh-like Dubai chocolate bars that have become a world sensation, limiting customers to two, The National reports.

💵 Wage Hike: Oman plans to raise its minimum wage by 20% to address rising living costs, Manpower Minister Mahad Baawain said.

🛢️ Refinery Partners: Saudi Aramco is in talks to invest in two planned refineries in India to secure a stable crude outlet in the fast-growing market.

🏝️ Resort Disaster: A tourist submarine sank off the coast of Egypt’s Red Sea resort of Hurghada, killing six people aboard, with 39 rescued.

🌍 Power Circuit

Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed, the UAE Vice President, Deputy Prime Minister and Chairman of the Presidential Court, hosted government employees at an Iftar gathering at his palace’s Al Barza Majlis in Abu Dhabi.

Crown Prince Hussein of Jordan called on the National Council for Future Technology to focus on improving the country’s digital infrastructure in a speech on Wednesday at Al Husseiniya Palace.

➿ On the Circuit

James Gorman, former Chairman of both Morgan Stanley and Disney, will join General Atlantic as a Senior Adviser as the U.S. private equity firm decides whether to go ahead with an IPO.

Jim Zelter, President of Apollo Global Management, said that private credit is not a “bubble” and an economic slowdown will not trigger “massive losses” in the growing sector, speaking at an HSBC financial conference in Hong Kong.

Rania Al-Mashat, Egypt’s Planning Minister, said that Egypt is expected to sign an agreement with the European Union later this year on financing worth $4.3 billion.

Gili Raanan, founder of the Israeli venture capital Cyberstarts, discusses Google’s $32 billion acquisition of Wiz, in which his firm was an early investor, on the “Invest Like the Best” podcast.

🎶 Culture Circuit

🎤 Arabian Gig: American rapper Wiz Khalifa said he recently made $3 million for a 45-minute show in Saudi Arabia. Though he didn’t specify the exact event while chatting in a studio session with fellow rapper DDG, Hypefresh suggests the big payday came in January at the Balad Beast 2025 festival in Jeddah, which brings global superstars to Saudi Arabia every year.

📷 Photo of the Day

Princess Reema Bandar Al-Saud, Saudi Arabia’s Ambassador to the U.S. (right), and UAE Ambassador Yousef Al Otaiba were among the diplomats who joined President Donald Trump on Thursday for an Iftar dinner at the White House. (Reema Bandar Al Saud/X)

📅 Circuit Calendar

March 1-30, Abu Dhabi. Ramadan and Eid exhibition. The exhibition will showcase companies displaying an array of fashion, accessories, perfumes and other gifts. ADNEC.

April 7-9, Abu Dhabi. AIMCongress 2025. An investment platform bringing together thought leaders, decision-makers and entrepreneurs. ADNEC.

April 7-9, Dubai. Middle East Energy. Bringing together international energy suppliers to discuss products and solutions. Dubai World Trade Centre.

April 11-13, Sakhir, Bahrain. F1 Gulf Air Bahrain Grand Prix. Formula 1 racing returns to the Gulf island state. Bahrain International Circuit.

April 13-15, Riyadh. Saudi Food Manufacturing. Back for a second year, the focus turns to logistics solutions, including advancements in AI-driven supply chains, robotics, and sustainable automation technologies. Riyadh Front Exhibition & Conference Centre.

April 14-16, Dubai. IPS Congress. The Middle East’s largest international property sales event. Dubai World Trade Centre.

April 15-17, Dubai. Abu Dhabi Global Health Week. A critical worldwide forum dedicated to shaping the future of health. ADNEC.

April 16-17, Dubai. FastBull Finance Summit Dubai. Focused on the depth and breadth of global finance, emphasizing areas such as forex and blockchain financial technology. Coca-Cola Arena.

April 17-19, Dubai. World Art Dubai. Annual retail art fair featuring more than 10,000 works for sale. Dubai World Trade Centre.

April 18-20, Dubai. Art Dubai. Three-day city festival spotlights more than 100 contemporary, modern and digital galleries from the UAE and over 40 other countries. Madinat Jumeirah.

April 18-20, Jeddah. STC Saudi Arabian GP. The Formula 1 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix by STC returns, promising an electrifying high-speed spectacle on the Red Sea. Jeddah Corniche Circuit.

April 18-20, Abu Dhabi. Middle East Film and Comic Con 2025. The region’s largest pop culture festival returns for its 13th year. ADNEC.

April 21-23, Abu Dhabi. Electric Vehicle Innovation Summit 2025. The Middle East’s largest annual event dedicated to shaping the future of electric mobility. ADNEC.

April 21-25, Dubai. Dubai AI Festival. Bringing together the brightest minds to explore and expand the commercial and economic possibilities of AI technology.” Madinat Jumeirah.

April 29-30, Abu Dhabi. Digital Transformation Summit UAE 2025. In its 37th edition, the summit is expected to be attended by over 300 C-suite executives, directors, and technology leaders. Sheraton Abu Dhabi Hotel and Resorts.

April 30. May 1, Dubai. Token2049 Dubai. A global conference dedicated to the crypto and blockchain ecosystem. Madinat Jumeirah.

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BOUNCING BACK

Egypt starts to rebound after IMF bailout, ADQ resort investment

Egyptian economy also suffered some setbacks, including a 70% decline in Suez Canal revenue and a 7.5% drop in income from oil production

Yunus Hocaoglu/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Tourism revenue grew 18% during the fourth quarter of 2024

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 27, 2025
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Egypt’s economy is growing at a pace it hasn’t seen since 2022 following last year’s IMF bailout and a massive investment from the UAE. 

GDP grew 4.3% year-on-year in the last three months of 2024, which the government attributed largely to the IMF’s $8 billion loan package and Abu Dhabi-owned ADQ’s $35 billion Ras El-Hekma resort project.

Egypt’s Ministry of Planning, Economic Development and International Cooperation pointed to tourism, trade-related transportation and non-oil manufacturing as the key drivers of economic expansion.

Private investment increased 35.4% year-on-year in the fourth quarter, while public investment contracted 25.7%. Tourism grew by 18% in the fourth quarter, with total visitors rising to 4.41 million

Still, the Egyptian economy suffered some major setbacks, including a 70% decline in revenue from the Suez Canal because of  “ongoing geopolitical tensions” and a 7.5% drop in income from oil production.

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BURIED TREASURE

Saudi Arabia to spend $2.3 billion on mining gold and phosphates

Saudi Arabia controls more than 320 tons of gold reserves in local and foreign banks, the largest in the Arab world and 18th worldwide

GETTY IMAGES

An employee walks in a phosphate storage facility in the Maaden Aluminium Factory in the Ras Al-Khair Industrial area

By
Omnia Al Desoukie
March 26, 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s Ma’aden mining company is preparing to make major new investments this year to draw gold and phosphates from the kingdom’s vast desert territory.

The Saudi government plans to spend close to $2.3 billion on mining projects for the precious metal and minerals as part of its Vision 2030 blueprint for diversifying the economy and reducing its reliance on oil revenue, Zawya reports, citing the Almal newspaper.

Saudi Arabia controls more than 320 tons of gold reserves in local and foreign banks, the largest in the Arab world and 18th worldwide. Those reserves, together with gold and other metals underground, are estimated to be worth more than $2.5 trillion.

Saudi Arabia controls more than 320 tons of gold reserves in local and foreign banks, the largest in the Arab world and 18th worldwide. Those reserves, together with gold and other metals underground, are estimated to be worth more than $2.5 trillion.

Read More
WASHINGTON REVIEW

UAE, U.S. presidents follow up on $1.4 trillion investment pledge

The call followed news that the UAE will invest $1.4 trillion in the U.S., focusing on AI infrastructure, semiconductors, energy and manufacturing

White House/X

Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, the UAE National Security Adviser, met U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance at the White House in March

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 26, 2025
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UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed and U.S. President Donald Trump held a phone conversation to sum up a series of investment deals and high-level meetings between the two allies over the past week.

The Abu Dhabi-Washington call on Tuesday followed the announcement that the UAE will invest $1.4 trillion in the U.S. over the next decade, focusing AI infrastructure, semiconductors, energy and manufacturing.

The two presidents discussed Trump’s meeting with Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, the UAE National Security Adviser and Sheikh Mohamed’s brother, who leads many of the country’s largest companies and sovereign wealth funds.

Sheikh Tahnoon talked to an array of cabinet secretaries and also held meetings with heads of the biggest tech companies, including Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, Palantir’s Alex Karp and xAI’s Elon Musk.

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LOOKING EAST

Aramco hunts for new China investments as oil profit slips

Saudi interest reflects China's position as the world’s largest consumer and producer of petrochemicals, accounting for half of global demand

Zhang Xiangyi/China News Service via Getty Images

Amin Nasser, CEO of Saudi Aramco, speaks at the China Development Forum in Beijing

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 25, 2025
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Amid shrinking profits, Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said the world’s biggest oil company is shopping for new investments in China.

Nasser spoke in Beijing on Monday at the China Development Forum, where he said Aramco is “currently” supporting projects in the areas of Fujian, Liaoning, Zhejiang and Tianjin.

“I emphasize ‘currently’ because we are continuing to identify additional opportunities, which include energy and chemicals, as well as technology,” Nasser said.

Aramco’s interest in China, Nasser said, rests partly on its emergence as the “world’s largest consumer and producer of petrochemicals, accounting for nearly half of global demand, and it’s becoming a major hub for the entire chemicals industry value chain, which will be critical to industries of the future.”

The conference in Beijing was the first stop for international executives and policymakers trying to navigate trade tensions between the U.S. and China, with the subject hitting center-stage this week at the Boao Forum for Asia in Hainan.

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investment muscle

Gulf sovereign funds expected to control $18 trillion by 2030

Another trend identified by Deloitte is the proliferation of Royal Private Offices that now manage approximately $500 billion in assets in the Gulf

ANDREW HOLBROOKE/ Getty Images

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority Building

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 24, 2025
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The Gulf states have become a dominant force in the world of sovereign wealth funds even if their assets fall shy of those in Norway and China.

Led by the UAE, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, government-owned funds in the Gulf are expected to grow 50% by 2030 and control $18 trillion in assets, according to an analysis by Deloitte Middle East. The region is home to six of the world’s 10 largest funds and about 40% of total sovereign assets.

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority leads the Gulf with $1.05 trillion, according to Deloitte, followed by the Kuwait Investment Authority at $1.02 trillion, the Saudi Public Investment Fund with $925 billion and the Qatar Investment Authority with $526 billion.

“The Gulf region continues to be the epicenter of sovereign wealth fund activity, with its major players driving innovation in investment strategies and operational excellence,” Julie Kassab, sovereign wealth fund leader at Deloitte Middle East.

Norway’s Government Pension Fund Global is the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund, with assets of more than $1.7 trillion. China Investment Corp. comes in second with $1.3 trillion.

Another phenomenon identified by Deloitte is the proliferation of Royal Private Offices, or RPOs, that now control approximately $500 billion in assets in the Gulf and have become one of the key drivers behind the creation of new sovereign wealth funds in the region.

Sovereign wealth fund tracker Global SWF has identified 35 RPOs in the Gulf, with the UAE home to a vast majority of the offices. The most significant of them is the Royal Group, a family enterprise headed by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, the UAE National Security Adviser and Deputy Ruler of Abu Dhabi.

Sheikh Tahnoon is also Chairman of sovereign funds ADIA and ADQ, in addition to leading some of the emirate’s largest firms, including International Holding Co., MGX and G42. 

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REACHING HIGHER

UAE to invest $1.4 trillion in U.S., targeting AI, energy and chips

The Gulf state agreed to a new investment framework, pledging money for AI infrastructure, semiconductors, energy and manufacturing

White House/X

Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, the UAE National Security Adviser, met U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance at the White House in March

By
Omnia Al Desoukie
March 24, 2025
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The UAE plans to increase its investments in the U.S. to $1.4 trillion over 10 years.

Following last week’s visit by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed with President Donald Trump and several of his cabinet members, the White House announced that the UAE had agreed to a new investment framework, pledging money for AI infrastructure, semiconductors, energy and manufacturing.

Sheikh Tahnoon, the UAE National Security Advisor who leads several of the country’s largest companies and sovereign wealth funds, spent the first part of the week with government leaders.

Later, he met with heads of the biggest tech companies, including Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, Palentir’s Alex Karp and xAI’s Elon Musk.

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TECH TEAM

Musk’s xAI, Nvidia join with MGX in artificial intelligence fund

Expansion of the venture came amid the Washington visit by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, Chairman of MGX and other top UAE tech businesses

SHEIKH TAHNOON BIN ZAYED/INSTAGRAM

Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed (right) and Oracle's Larry Ellison met in Washington on Wednesday

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 20, 2025
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The UAE’s biggest tech firms are capitalizing on White House support to tighten partnerships with America’s leaders in the booming industry of artificial intelligence.

A consortium created last year by Abu Dhabi investment fund MGX, Microsoft and BlackRock to finance power-hungry AI data centers welcomed chipmaker Nvidia and Elon Musk’s xAI to the group on Wednesday.

Expansion of the top-level venture came amid the Washington visit by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, the UAE National Security Advisor and Chairman of MGX and a constellation of other tech companies, who dined at the White House this week with President Donald Trump.

Sheikh Tahnoon, who held a meeting with Musk through a video feed on Wednesday, has been accompanied through the trip by Khaldoon Al Mubarak, the MGX Vice Chairman and CEO of the Mubadala sovereign wealth fund. Also on the visit is Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, CEO of the ADNOC national oil company and the UAE Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology. Peng Xiao, CEO of the Abu Dhabi-based AI company G42, joined the call with Musk.

Among the other meetings in his U.S. rounds, Sheikh Tahnoon said he “explored opportunities for collaboration and investment” with Oracle’s Larry Ellison.

ADQ, meanwhile, another Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund chaired by Sheikh Tahnoon, agreed to invest a combined $5 billion in a partnership with U.S-based Energy Capital Partners to build power stations for data centers and AI projects – with the investment eventually reaching $25 billion.

The announcement came as Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told the company’s GTC conference in San Jose, Calif., that the industry is preparing for a massive leap in building data centers and chip manufacturing plants with accompanying energy demand.

“Over the next several years, we’re going to be building giant AI factories,” he said. Not normal AI factories … ones you see from space,” Huang said.

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