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Quick Hits

Trade shock

Gulf states review sovereign wealth funds amid Iran conflict

INSECURITY BENEFITS

Nuclear industry sees revival as Mideast crisis pushes oil to $100

The Daily Circuit: Gulf states review sovereign funds + Citi stay-home order

OIL SAGA

Energy agency weighs record oil release as Iran tensions mount

FERTILIZER CRISIS

Iran crisis sparks farm chemical crunch, threatening food supplies

METROPOLITAN OASIS

Saudi Arabia gets $3.8B foreign investment for King Salman Park

The Daily Circuit: Global oil shock escalates + ADIA-Ardan property platform

GULF BOTTLENECK

Strait of Hormuz traffic plummets amid fears of new Iranian attacks

'catastrophic consequences'

Aramco CEO sounds alarm on impact of Iran conflict for oil

The Daily Circuit: Aramco chief’s dire warning + Mubadala Bio drugs

Gulf gridlock

Oil prices approach 4-year high as Iran conflict stymies shipping

AUTO ACCESS

UAE-Japan trade pact aimed at boosting Japanese car exports

HORSE haven

Qatar airlifts throughbreds to Belgian refuge amid Iran conflict

The Daily Circuit: Oil prices approach 4-year high + ADNOC contingency plans

ESCAPE ROUTE

Oman’s airport turns into key evacuation hub for private jets

calculated risks

Gulf governments review foreign investments amid Iran conflict

The Daily Circuit: Sovereigns reassess Gulf risks + QIA funds space stations

REAL TEST

Dubai’s property market put to test in missile barrage from Iran

risky waters

Shipping giants freeze container traffic amid rising Gulf threats

The Daily Circuit: Container ships stuck in Gulf + ADIA, QIA invest in Softbank unit

Quick Hits

On Track

Boeing pledges Riyadh Air order will be ready for 2025 launch

The new flag carrier, owned by the PIF, is a key element in Saudi Arabia’s plan to open the kingdom to visitors and attract international business

Getty Images

A Riyadh Air Boeing 787-9 jetliner aircraft on the tarmac during the 2023 Dubai Airshow

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
July 25, 2024
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Amid Boeing’s global travails ranging from delays in the delivery of its new generation airliners to lawsuits from the mid-flight blowout of a cabin door, the world’s No. 2 planemaker is determined not to lose Saudi Arabia.

Peter Bellew, chief operating officer of Riyadh Air, says Boeing executives have sought to assure the kingdom’s new flag carrier that the first aircraft in its fleet of purple-hued 787 Dreamliners on order will arrive in time for the airline’s projected launch in the summer of 2025.

“We have to take them on their word,” Bellew told The National in an interview on the sidelines of the U.K.’s Farnborough International Airshow that was published on Wednesday.

“They are aware we’re a startup and we don’t have older or leased aircraft to fall back on,” he said, adding “We’re in close contact with them constantly.”

Riyadh Air, which is owned by the Public Investment Fund, is a key element in Saudi Arabia’s plan to open the kingdom to visitors and attract international business.

With chic designer uniforms unveiled on a Paris runway last month, Bellew expects to hire more than 700 pilots and 3,000 cabin crew over the next two years.

Also generating pressure on Boeing is the competition for Riyadh Air’s second order which Bellew suggested is still a toss-up between the U.S. planemaker and the industry leader, Europe’s Airbus.

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Sovereign Guru

PIF’s Al Saif to drive data-led strategy for attracting new capital

Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund has hired from within to lead its Investment Strategy and Economic Insights division

Branding for Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund. (Photo: Getty Images)

July 24, 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund has hired from within to lead its Investment Strategy and Economic Insights division as the kingdom looks to tap foreign investors and lucrative sectors to fund its massive economic transformation plan.

Fahad Al Saif will start in the role immediately and continue as Head of the Global Capital Finance Division, overseeing government asset transfers, fundraising and investor relations, according to a statement from the PIF.

Prior to joining the nearly trillion-dollar sovereign wealth fund in 2020, Al Saif was CEO of the Saudi National Debt Management Center and an adviser to the Finance Minister.

In his new role, Al Saif will be the official informant on what should drive the PIF’s overarching investment strategy and lead research on market trends and net zero strategies, according to the PIF. 

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Africa Trade

UAE signs free trade agreement with Mauritius, first in Africa

The Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement will eliminate more than 97% of all import tariffs between the two countries

Thani Al Zeyoudi, UAE Minister of State for Foreign Trade and Talent Attraction (Getty Images)

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
July 23, 2024
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The UAE’s steady campaign to conclude free trade agreements with partner nations around the world has reached Africa.

In a ceremony on Monday, senior leaders of the UAE and Mauritius met in Dubai to sign a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement that will eliminate more than 97% of all import tariffs between the two countries.

Dr. Thani Al Zeyoudi, UAE Minister of State for Foreign Trade, and Maneesh Gobin, the Mauritius Minister of Foreign Affairs, Regional Integration and International Trade, signed the document while Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, and Mauritius Prime Minister Pravind Kumar Jugnauth looked on via video link.

In the past three years, the UAE has signed free-trade pacts with India, Israel, Indonesia, Turkey, Cambodia and Georgia.

The agreement with Mauritius was the first with an African country. The UAE is also seeking to reopen trade talks with the EU by the end of the year, Al Zeyoudi told Reuters on Monday. 

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Courting India

UAE’s Bin Touq heads to India in search of investment opportunity

The world’s most populous nation looms ever larger as a magnet for sovereign funds looking to deploy their capital in emerging markets

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi welcomed UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed in Gujarat, India during a state visit in January. (Photo: Getty Images)

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
July 23, 2024
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UAE Minister of Economy Abdullah bin Touq headed to India with a bevy of Emirati business leaders in tow as the world’s most populous nation looms ever larger as a magnet for sovereign investment.

Bin Touq is leading a trade delegation that will engage with top government officials and corporate chieftains in India, which is the UAE’s third largest trade partner.

The tour, which will feature a business conference on Wednesday in the framework of the UAE’s Investopia Global Talks, follows reciprocal visits to each other’s country this year by UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

The UAE is far from alone in courting India. An analysis by U.S.-based Invesco found that 88% of sovereign wealth funds, including all of those in the Middle East, consider the Indian subcontinent to be the most attractive target for investment among emerging markets.

The report notes the interest Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih expressed last year in establishing a branch of the Public Investment Fund in India’s Gujarat International Finance Tec-City and channeling capital to Indian startups.

Also steering investment decisions are the winds of war roaring through Lebanon, Israel, Gaza and the Red Sea, according to Invesco, which found that 95% of the region’s sovereign wealth fund managers see geopolitical tensions as the most serious risk to economic growth over the coming 12 months.

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Digging Deep

Saudi Arabia heads to Brazil, Chile in pursuit of mineral wealth

Saudi Mining Minister Bandar Alkhorayaf visits South America as the kingdom hunts for lithium supplies, a key ingredient for EV batteries

Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef. (Photo: Getty Images)

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
July 22, 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s determination to develop an electric vehicle industry and expand its role in the international mining industry is taking its leaders to South America. 

Bandar Alkhorayaf, Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources, will visit Brazil and Chile over the coming two weeks as the world’s leading oil exporter seeks to expand its international presence in mining.

In Brazil, talks will cover mining, food processing and aviation, while in Chile the focus is on lithium, needed for electric vehicle batteries. 

Alkhorayaf will land in Brazil today and leave for Chile, the world’s second largest producer of lithium, next Sunday. In Brazil, he will meet with executives from mining company Vale.

In Chile, Alkhorayaf will meet Mining Minister Aurora Williams, as well as mining companies Antofagasta and Codelco, a state-run company tasked with bringing the Chilean government into the lithium industry.

Back home for the minister, troves of minerals lie beneath Saudi Arabia that are critical to powering the energy transition such as gold, phosphate, bauxite, copper, zinc and nickel.

The Public Investment Fund’s Ma’aden mining company is tasked with tapping the resources, last valued at $2.5 trillion, making it one of the most significant potential contributors to the kingdom’s economic transformation ambitions.

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Presidential Suite

Trump plans Dubai tower as Gulf property portfolio grows

The Trump Organization is partnering with Dar Global, the Dubai-based international arm of Saudi Arabia’s largest developer

Trump Tower in New York City. (Photo: Getty Images)

July 19, 2024
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The Dubai skyline is set to get its own Trump tower as former U.S. President Donald Trump – who accepted the Republican party’s nomination to the top of the ticket in Milwaukee, WI on Thursday night –gets in on the property boom underway in the UAE’s biggest city. 

The Trump Organization is partnering with Dar Global, the Dubai-based international arm of Saudi Arabia’s largest developer Dar Al Arkan, to build Trump Tower Dubai.

The skyscraper will house a new members-only club called The Trump Private, a hotel and residences, according to a statement from Dar Global. The cost of the project or a completion date were not revealed but design plans are expected towards the end of this year.

The deal comes as the Donald Trump-owned developer makes a push into the Arabian Peninsula, having announced two other projects in the region with Dar Global in recent weeks: a $500 million golf resort in Oman and a high-rise tower planned in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

The Trump Organization has a real estate portfolio of resorts, hotels, apartment buildings and golf courses in parts of the U.S. like New York, Chicago and Hawaii, as well as international locales in some of the world’s fastest growing economies like India, Indonesia and Turkey.

The firm already has a presence in Dubai as part of a partnership with developer Damac for two golf properties in Damac’s Akoya development.

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New Energy

UAE exploring potential for second nuclear power facility

Any contract for a new nuclear plant would be worth tens of billions of dollars and could attract bids from China, Russia and the U.S., Reuters says

The Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant’s Unit 4 facility. (Photo: Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation)

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
July 18, 2024
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Amid efforts by all the Gulf states to wean their economies off dependence on oil and develop alternative fuels, the UAE is pushing to get more of its power from nuclear energy.

Four months after the UAE’s Barakah nuclear plant became 100% operational, the government is exploring the possibility of building a second nuclear facility, Reuters reports.

“The government is looking at this option, Hamad Alkaabi, the UAE’s Ambassador to Austria and Permanent Representative to the UN’s nuclear agency, told the news agency.

“No final decision has been made in terms of the tender process but I can tell you that the government is actively exploring this option.”

Any contract for a new nuclear power plant would be worth tens of billions of dollars and could attract tender bids from China, Russia and the U.S., among others, Reuters said.

The government has yet to budget for a second power plant or decide on the size or the location, but Alkaabi said it was possible a tender could be issued this year.

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Eagle's Landing

Alabbar’s Eagle Hills to invest billions in Indonesia

The Abu Dhabi-based developer inked the deal during Indonesian President Joko Widodo's state visit to the UAE

UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed receives Indonesian President Joko Widodo in Abu Dhabi. (Photo: WAM)

July 18, 2024
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UAE property tycoon Mohamed Alabbar plans to invest up to $3 billion in Indonesia’s tourism sector.

Alabbar’s Eagle Hills Properties, an Abu Dhabi-based private real estate investment and development company, inked the one-year deal with Indonesia’s Ministry of State-Owned Enterprises in the presence of Indonesian President Joko Widodo and UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed in Abu Dhabi on Wednesday.

Alabbar, who also heads Dubai’s largest developer, Emaar, visited Nusantara, where the Indonesian capital is being relocated, in May where he expressed interest in investing.

The deal to help develop and upgrade airport infrastructure and state-owned hotels comes as President Widodo has been wooing foreign investors before his final term ends this year.

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