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Quick Hits

Gulf gridlock

Oil prices approach 4-year high as Iran conflict stymies shipping

AUTO ACCESS

UAE-Japan trade pact aimed at boosting Japanese car exports

HORSE haven

Qatar airlifts throughbreds to Belgian refuge amid Iran conflict

The Daily Circuit: Oil prices approach 4-year high + ADNOC contingency plans

ESCAPE ROUTE

Oman’s airport turns into key evacuation hub for private jets

calculated risks

Gulf governments review foreign investments amid Iran conflict

The Daily Circuit: Sovereigns reassess Gulf risks + QIA funds space stations

REAL TEST

Dubai’s property market put to test in missile barrage from Iran

risky waters

Shipping giants freeze container traffic amid rising Gulf threats

The Daily Circuit: Container ships stuck in Gulf + ADIA, QIA invest in Softbank unit

alternate route

Egypt offers to transport Saudi crude oil to Mediterranean port

rescue mission

Etihad Rail evacuates stranded UAE travelers across Saudi border

The Daily Circuit:  Etihad Rail’s rescue mission + Aramco avoids Hormuz

financial fallout

Iran attacks roil Mideast markets, though oil impact stays moderate

Economic Partners

UAE and Ecuador seal trade accord with $3B in potential deals

The Daily Circuit:  Gulf markets absorb missile strikes + ADIA divests hotels

STORMY SEAS

Shipping insurers threaten to cancel policies after Iran strikes

risky business

Finance firms reassess Gulf business plans after Iran strikes

The Daily Circuit:  Iran attacks shake Gulf business + ADNOC delays bond issue

WINDY FRONTIER

Masdar to sell 60% stake in Portuguese wind farms to Exus

Quick Hits

Made in UAE

Emirates Development Bank to provide billions in new financing to private sector

The bank has allocated $1.36 billion in financing for industrial projects so far this year

The Emirates Development Bank booth at the Make it in the Emirates Forum. (Photo: EDB)

May 28, 2024
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Emirates Development Bank (EDB) is loosening the purse strings, aiming to massively increase financing to the private sector by 2026.

The bank announced it will provide financing worth AED 30 billion ($8.2 billion) by 2026, targeting the 13,500 companies operating in key sectors for the UAE’s diversification efforts, including renewable energy, industry, advanced technology, healthcare and food security, according to Shaker Zainal, Business Finance Director at EDB.

On the sidelines of the Make it in the Emirates Forum on Monday, he said the bank has allocated $1.36 billion in financing for industrial projects so far this year.

Access to financing is one of the top hurdles for small- and medium-sized enterprises looking to grow in the Gulf. To address the access to credit or equity financing gap, development banks across the region have cropped up in the last decade, with EDB launching in 2015. 

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Second Thoughts

China hawks in Congress debate Microsoft-G42 deal

The companies are now in initial talks for a follow-on agreement that could include the transfer of cutting-edge U.S. technology to the Abu Dhabi artificial intelligence firm

Emirates News Agency

IHC Chairman Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed with Microsoft President Brad Smith and G42 CEO Peng Xiao at $1.5 billion deal signing in April 2024

May 27, 2024
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Congressional China hawks are raising red flags over Microsoft’s $1.5 billion investment in Abu Dhabi artificial intelligence firm G42, Politico reports.

The deal, brokered with the help of the U.S. Commerce Department, was in part aimed at bringing the UAE – a regional leader in AI development – out of China’s “camp,” Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said at the time.

Microsoft and G42 are now in initial talks for a follow-on agreement that could include the transfer of cutting-edge U.S.-designed semiconductors to G42.

In February, G42 said it is divesting its stakes in Chinese companies and in recent months has “signaled a willingness” to replace hardware made by Huawei and other Chinese vendors with U.S. alternatives, according to Politico.

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), the ranking member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said he has “serious concerns that the Biden Commerce Department, under Secretary Raimondo, is not adequately safeguarding our advanced technologies.”

On the other hand, Rep. Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.) hailed the deal and said Congress “should welcome countries who choose to align themselves with the United States,” describing the UAE as a strategic ally and a moderating force in the Middle East.

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Ahead of Schedule

UAE likely to hit oil capacity target one year early

The higher capacity will be a potential source of tension as OPEC+ debates new production quotas later this year

An Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) fuel station sign in the UAE. (Photo: Getty Images)

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
May 27, 2024
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The UAE is likely to achieve its full oil capacity target of 5 million barrels a day more than a year earlier than expected, Bloomberg reports.

ADNOC, the state-owned oil company, is on course to reach the threshold by the end of next year or early 2026, which is ahead of the 2027 goal the company had set, according to people with knowledge of the operations.

The higher capacity will be a potential source of tension as OPEC+ debates new production quotas later this year, the news agency said.

OPEC and its partners have been restricting output for years to shore up the market and raise prices.

The UAE – which said this month that it had raised capacity from last year’s level – has been eager to use some of its spare volume, according to Bloomberg.

The country has occasionally clashed with Saudi Arabia on the issue, risking a split among the group three years ago, before a compromise was found.

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MIDEAST MUNCHIES

Mars Egypt pours $250 million into chocolate factory expansion

Alongside its signature Mars Bars, the company's Egyptian subsidiary makes 150 products, including Snickers, Altoids and Juicy Fruit chewing gum

Getty Images

Mars Egypt exports to more than 40 countries in the Middle East, Africa, Europe and Australia.

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
May 24, 2024
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Mars Bars, the gooey chocolate candy sold virtually everywhere on Earth, are finding the MENA market to be a sweet spot for sales growth.

Counting on both kids and adult snackers to keep devouring the high-calorie munchies, Mars Egypt – the Middle East subsidiary of McClean, Virginia.-based Mars Inc. – laid out plans this week to invest $250 million in expanding its Cairo-area factory near the pyramids in Giza.

Over the course of an 18-month construction period, the plant’s production capacity is slated to increase from 25,000 to 40,000 tons a year.

Alongside the caramel-infused chocolate bars, Mars currently makes roughly 150 products on the Egyptian factory’s six production lines, including Snickers, Altoids and Juicy Fruit chewing gum.

The expansion will add two new production lines and 15 new products by the start of next year, the plant’s director, Osama Hellal, told the Zawya news agency on a factory tour.

Mars Egypt exports to over 40 countries in Africa, the Mideast, Europe and Australia.

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Stalled Stock

Abu Dhabi’s IHC seeks to reward investors after surge putters out

The $240 billion conglomerate is planning a $1.4 billion buyback two years after the shares rocketed by 43,000%

The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange's ADX logo is seen on a smartphone. (Photo: Getty Images)

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
May 24, 2024
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International Holding Co., the $240 billion conglomerate that grew out of an obscure Emirati fish farming business, is seeking to reward shareholders as the company’s phenomenal growth spurt has stalled.

The Abu Dhabi-based firm, led by Sheikh Tahnoon Bin Zayed, brother of the UAE’s President, is making plans for a $1.4 billion buyback program aimed at reviving its stock price to “create significant value in the future,” CEO Syed Basar Shueb tells Bloomberg.

Between 2019 and 2022, IHC shares on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange rocketed 43,000%. Over the past two years, however, they’ve leveled off and hovered around the level of 400 dirhams.

IHC announced the buyback program May 6 and plans to execute the plan over a one-year period, pending approval from investors and regulators.

“This is our strategy for rewarding our shareholders,” Shueb said.

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Building Boom

Proptech seizes Middle East moment amid real estate boom

Total value of real estate projects planned or under construction is $1.68 trillion, according to commercial property firm CBRE

An aerial view shows skyscrapers and Dubai city from the top of Burj Khalifa. (Photo: Getty Images)

May 24, 2024
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Proptech is having a moment in the Middle East. A flurry of deals among some of the biggest property technology players in the region amid a glut of real estate development projects in the Gulf has prompted capital data platform Magnitt to ponder: Is this a proptech bubble? 

Saudi Arabia and the UAE in particular are driving the action. The total value of real estate projects currently planned or under construction stands at an estimated $1.68 trillion, up from $1.38 trillion a year earlier, according to commercial real estate firm CBRE.

Saudi Arabia accounts for 63.1% of the total or some $1.06 trillion, followed by the UAE, which at $409 billion, accounts for 24.4% of the total.

This week Dubai-based property marketplace startup Huspy announced a new funding round led by London VC firm Balderton Capital – with participation from Fifth Wall at a higher valuation than its Series A in 2022 – bucking a broader trend of downward value corrections.

Huspy, which has offices in Madrid, is planning a European expansion and a mobile app with more features. Property Finder, another Dubai-based property portal, closed a $90 million buyback deal with Francisco Partners earlier this month, allowing original backer BECO Capital to exit with the Dubai property portal valued at more than $1 billion, according to Founder Michael Lahyani. 

Proptech up-and-comers have also closed deals: UAE-based rent-now-pay-later platform Keyper raised $4 million in a pre-Series A round and received $30 million in sukuk financing.

And Egypt’s Birdnest, a startup that develops technology for real estate investors, announced the close of a pre-Series A funding round led by Beltone Venture Capital and CI Venture Capital.

Still, startups take off from a low base of funding deals and smaller check sizes amid the global downturn in venture capital activity.

Real estate venture funding in the Middle East, Pakistan and Turkey dropped 78% year-on-year in 2023, according to Magnitt.

“There’s definitely energy in the region for proptech investments, but whether the VC space will reflect the broader industry growth remains to be seen,” Magnitt CEO Philip Bahoshy wrote in a note today. 

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Chipping In

PGA Tour’s deal with LIV Golf ‘far from dead’

Under the proposed deal, the Public Investment Fund would pour $1.5 billion into the tour’s for-profit arm

LIV Golf signage during day three of the LIV Golf Invitational - Singapore at Sentosa Golf Club. (Photo: Getty Images)

May 23, 2024
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The PGA Tour’s deal with the Public Investment Fund’s LIV Golf “is far from dead,” The New York Times’ DealBook reports.

Term sheets have been exchanged between the North American pro tour and the Saudi sovereign wealth fund “in recent days,” according to reporter Lauren Hirsch.

Under the proposed deal, the PIF would pour $1.5 billion into the tour’s for-profit arm.

In January, Fenway Sports made a $1.5 billion investment in the PGA, with participation from hedge funder Steven Cohen and fellow billionaires Marc Lasry and Arthur Blank, who took a minority stake in the commercial unit of the tour.

The current deal up for negotiation would give the tour $3 billion in new funding, with the Saudis and U.S. investors each chipping in half.

The PGA Tour would retain majority control. What the term sheet does not resolve is what would become of LIV Golf under the agreement. 

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AI in Africa

Abu Dhabi’s G42 and Microsoft to invest $1 billion in Kenya

The joint initiative to build digital infrastructure was unveiled in Washington D.C. during a state visit by Kenyan President William Ruto

U.S. President Joe Biden and Kenya's President William Ruto at the White House in Washington, DC on May 22. (Photo: Getty Images)

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
May 23, 2024
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G42, the UAE artificial intelligence firm led by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, is establishing a foothold in Africa, building on its blossoming relationship with Microsoft.

The Abu Dhabi-based firm announced that, in collaboration with Microsoft, it will invest $1 billion in Kenya to strengthen the East African country’s digital foundations.

The joint initiative, unveiled in Washington D.C. on Wednesday during a state visit by Kenyan President William Ruto, includes building a geothermal-powered data center to run Microsoft Azure cloud computing services in East Africa.

G42 and Microsoft will also work with Kenyan partners to develop local-language AI models, create training programs to teach AI skills and establish an East Africa Innovation Lab.

Microsoft signed an agreement last month to invest $1.5 billion in G42, giving it a seat on the AI company’s board with Sheikh Tahnoon, the brother of UAE President Mohamed bin Zayed who also serves as UAE National Security Advisor and Chairman of sovereign wealth funds ADQ and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.

President Joe Biden will hold a state dinner at the White House for the Kenyan leader tonight, after pledging on Wednesday to bolster the 60-year relationship between the two countries and “transform millions of lives – I mean, literally, millions of lives” with technology partnerships.

Meg Whitman, the U.S. Ambassador to Kenya and former CEO of eBay and Hewlett Packard who escorted Ruto in Washington, is profiled by Politico this week on her efforts to deepen U.S. business ties with Africa.

At the Africa CEO Forum in Kigali, Rwanda, meanwhile, Mohammad Ali Rashed Lootah, President and CEO of Dubai Chambers, pitched the emirate’s competitive advantages on Wednesday as a business partner for African firms looking to operate in the Gulf and use it as a springboard for further-flung business activities.

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