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SKIN IN THE GAME

China’s Iran support restrained by investments in Middle East

war toll

Saudi Aramco-TotalEnergies refinery damaged in Iran attack

The Daily Circuit: Aramco-TotalEnergies refinery hit earlier this week

bulking up

Mubadala’s assets under management grow 17% to $385B

perilous passage

ADNOC’s Al Jaber says Strait must open with ‘no strings attached’

The Daily Circuit: ADNOC’s Al Jaber says Strait must open + Mubadala asset growth

The Daily Circuit: Markets surge on fragile truce + Shippers eye Hormuz

Ticking clock

Gulf braces for violent night as Trump deadline on Iran looms

up stream

Abu Dhabi-backed Banijay aims to challenge streaming titans

The Daily Circuit: Gulf braces for Trump deadline + PIF war costs

hollywood billions

Paramount Skydance seeks $24B from Gulf funds to buy Warner

Channel Chief

Iran picks which ships can and can’t enter Strait of Hormuz

The Daily Circuit: Iran handpicks Hormuz traffic + Inside Paramount’s Gulf backing

The Daily Circuit: PIF eyes $5B SpaceX stake + Whoop in PSG deal

GREEN JV

Masdar and TotalEnergies launch $2.2B Asian renewables venture

The Daily Circuit: UAE lobbies to end Strait of Hormuz chaos

stay home

UAE imposes entry ban on Iranians – but with exceptions

STRAIT RESCUE

ADNOC chief says Iran shipping disruptions amount to extortion

The Daily Circuit: ADNOC chief slams Iranian ‘extortion’ + Emirates NBD raises $2.25B

open tap

UAE expands U.S. investments amid disruptions from Iran war

Quick Hits

DREAM ROUTE

Riyadh Air to launch daily flights to Cairo with international push

CEO Tony Douglas says the Egyptian capital was a strategically chosen early destination, outlining plans to position Riyadh as a global hub

Riyadh Air

Riyadh Air Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner

By
Omnia Al Desoukie
February 25, 2026
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Saudi Arabia’s newest national carrier, Riyadh Air, confirmed it will launch daily flights to Cairo as it accelerates the build-out of its international network.

CEO Tony Douglas said the Egyptian capital was a strategically chosen early destination, describing the route as an important step in positioning Riyadh as a global hub.

The announcement came at a time when Saudi aviation authorities are advancing plans to strengthen the kingdom’s air-transport ecosystem, highlighting new initiatives aimed at boosting passenger traffic and sector investment.

The airline will operate the route using its Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner fleet, with services scheduled to commence shortly after the airline receives its first aircraft in the coming weeks.

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rough seas

Oil tanker daily rates hit $200,000 with Middle East tensions rising

In his State of the Union address, Trump warned Iran against further escalation, heightening market concerns about potential oil flow disruptions

Sam / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images

A tanker carrying crude oil

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
February 25, 2026
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Oil tanker shipping costs urged to their highest level in six years as traders scramble for vessels amid rising Middle East exports and mounting geopolitical tensions, with Saudi shipping giant Bahri moving to expand its fleet.

Daily rates for very large crude carriers, known as VLCCs, on the key Mideast route to Asia have more than tripled this year to approach $200,000, while crude prices themselves have climbed to a six-month high, reflecting tight vessel supply and stronger demand for oil shipments.

The spike has been fueled in part by India and other Asian buyers increasing purchases of Middle Eastern crude as they reduce reliance on Russian supplies, prompting Bahri to snap up additional ships to capitalize on the expanded market.

In his State of the Union address on Tuesday night, President Donald Trump warned Iran against further escalation in the region, heightening market concerns about potential disruptions to oil flows.

Additional upward pressure on freight costs has come from stronger Chinese oil demand, which is tightening tanker availability, while Iranian officials have renewed threats to the Strait of Hormuz, raising fears over a key global shipping chokepoint.

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BUDGET blues

Saudi Arabia posts largest quarterly deficit since 2020

Signs of the widening fiscal gap have been evident for months, with the slowing down of NEOM and shelving of Riyadh's $50 billion Mukaab cube

Getty Images

Oil income from state giant Saudi Aramco fell about 12% year on year to roughly $45 billion

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
February 24, 2026
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Saudi Arabia posted its largest quarterly budget deficit since 2020 as lower oil revenue and spending by the government on NEOM and some of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s other ambitious projects widened its fiscal gap. 

Signs of the worsening deficit have been evident for months, with the slowing down of NEOM’s $500 billion desert city called The Line and the shelving of the $50 billion Mukaab centerpiece in Riyadh’s New Murabba district.

The fiscal pressure has coincided with a leadership shake-up, with veteran investment minister Khalid Al-Falih replaced by Fahad Al-Saif, a former Public Investment Fund executive.

According to a Finance Ministry report issued on Monday, the kingdom recorded a shortfall of about 31 billion riyals ($8.2 billion) in the fourth quarter, with total revenue slipping while expenditures remained elevated.

The budget report showed oil income from state giant Saudi Aramco fell about 12% year on year to roughly $45 billion.

The government says it retains room to borrow and manage debt levels because of its relatively low debt-to-GDP ratio and continued access to global debt markets. 

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friendly skies

Etihad offers 3-room flying suites, expands its first class sections

The new Airbus 380 aircraft will enable big spenders to book an Etihad “Residence” suite, equipped with a double bed, living area and shower

Walaa Alshaer/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Antonoaldo Neves, chief executive officer of Etihad Airways

By
Omnia Al Desoukie
February 24, 2026
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Etihad Airways plans to outfit some of its new Airbus A380 planes with three-room suites while bringing back first class sections across its wide-body fleet.

The Abu Dhabi-based carrier will also increase the number of seats in its premium economy cabins while reducing capacity in economy class, traditionally the most densely configured section of the aircraft, CEO Antonoaldo Neves said in an interview with Bloomberg.

Neves said two of its Airbus A380 double-deck aircraft will feature Etihad’s three-room “Residence” suites, which include a double bed, living area and private shower.

Etihad reported its strongest full-year performance ever on Tuesday, posting a profit after tax of $698 million, a 47% increase from 2024.

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TERMINAL TAKEOFF

Egypt to build fourth terminal at Cairo International Airport

Egypt's Civil Aviation Minister Sameh El-Hefny says the new Terminal 4 will boost capacity and transform Cairo's airport into a regional hub

Mike Campbell/NurPhoto via Getty Images

An EgyptAir plane takes off

By
Omnia Al Desoukie
February 23, 2026
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Egypt plans to build a fourth terminal at Cairo International Airport and has drawn interest from 68 global firms to manage its growing airport in the Red Sea resort city of Hurghada.

Speaking to legislators, Civil Aviation Minister Sameh El-Hefny said the new Terminal 4 will substantially increase Cairo airport’s capacity and transform it into a regional hub.

Regarding Hurghada, El-Hefny said contractors selected will handle the airport’s management and commercial activities, introducing e-gates and paperless travel systems.

EgyptAir, meanwhile, will implement a major expansion, adding 34 new aircraft to its fleet, El-Hefny said.

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riyadh revision

Saudi Arabia softens regional HQ rule after surpassing initial target

The shift comes as more than 700 multinationals have already moved regional headquarters to Riyadh, well above earlier target of 500 by 2030

Elisa Schu/picture alliance via Getty Images

Riyadh's financial district

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
February 23, 2026
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Saudi Arabia has softened its strict regional headquarters rule just two years after requiring foreign firms to base their Middle East hubs in the kingdom to win government work.

Officials said government agencies may now seek exemptions to award contracts to companies that don’t have Saudi regional headquarters, using its Etimad procurement platform.

The Local Content and Government Procurement Authority is still setting tight conditions, allowing such bids only when a company is the sole qualified bidder or offers a price at least 25% lower than competitors.

Small contracts worth 1 million riyals ($266,000) or less are automatically exempt, and cabinet ministers can adjust the thresholds or halt the exceptions if they deem necessary.

The shift comes as more than 700 multinationals have already moved regional headquarters to Riyadh, well above the government’s earlier target of 500 by 2030.

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SCALING UP

Saudi startups dominate Gulf venture capital funding

Yet in AI, the UAE leads, accounting for 60% of regional AI funding, according to research from Magnitt

Getty Images

Downtown Riyadh.

By
Omnia Al Desoukie
February 20, 2026
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Saudi startups attracted the most venture capital in the Gulf last year, raising more than double the funding of their Emirati counterparts.

Yet in AI, the UAE leads, accounting for 60% of regional AI funding, while Saudi Arabia captured just 29%, according to research from Magnitt.

The difference reflects the kingdom’s slower adoption, despite investing in foundational infrastructure.

“On a high level, the UAE and KSA have differentiated strategies when it comes to developing their AI ecosystems,” Sam Marchant, founder of Dubai-based VC Forward Pursuit, told Arabian Gulf Business Insights.

The gap, however, may narrow as Saudi Arabia ramps up 2.2 gigawatts of AI compute capacity. Meanwhile, the UAE’s earlier infrastructure build-out and rapid adoption has made it easier for entrepreneurs to ideate, validate and scale AI startups in the country.

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COMPUTING POWER

Abu Dhabi’s G42 to build nation-scale AI supercomputer for India

The project, announced on the sidelines of the AI Impact Summit taking place in New Delhi, will be delivered in collaboration with U.S. AI company Cerebras Systems

Press Information Bureau /Anadolu via Getty Images

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi meets with Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, on the sidelines of the India AI Impact Summit in New Delhi.

By
Louise Burke
February 20, 2026
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Abu Dhabi tech conglomerate G42 will build a massive supercomputer in India in a deal aimed at bringing nation-scale sovereign AI capabilities to Asia’s third-largest economy. 

The project, announced on the sidelines of the AI Impact Summit taking place in New Delhi, will be delivered in collaboration with U.S. AI company Cerebras Systems, the Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence and India’s Centre for Development of Advanced Computing.

“Sovereign AI infrastructure is becoming essential for national competitiveness,” said G42 India CEO Manu Jain. “This project brings that capability to India at a national scale, enabling local researchers, innovators, and enterprises to become AI-native while maintaining full data sovereignty and security.”

G42 also announced a partnership with U.S.-based governance platform Credo AI to accelerate the adoption of so-called responsible AI across emerging markets. The project will develop risk-monitoring tools, policy design and education programs.

The Summit has seen Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi holding court with a crowd of global political and tech leaders, including Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohamed, French President Emmanuel Macron, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei and Meta’s Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang.

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