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The Daily Circuit: PIF sells top football team + Gulf faces economic fallout

TEED OFF

Saudi PIF weighs pulling funding from LIV Golf amid heavy losses

mideast track

UAE and Jordan sign $2.3 billion deal to develop Aqaba rail link

The Daily Circuit: LIV Golf’s cloudy future + UAE-Jordan rail deal

security concerns

Mideast conflict stokes Gulf investment in defense, energy

The Daily Circuit: Gulf invests in defense + Lucid gets $750M

CLOUDY FORECAST

IMF cuts MENA growth outlook as war disrupts trade, energy

slow recovery

UAE tourism urged to ‘reinvent itself’ as war hits visitor numbers

pied-à-terre

Gulf expats shop for second homes, safe haven in Europe

The Daily Circuit: KBM meets Xi in Beijing + OPEC production slide

TROUBLED Brands

Slow Dubai mall sales threaten luxury shopping recovery

Alternate route

Saudi Arabia repairs East-West oil pipeline after war damage

The Daily Circuit: Saudi pipeline patched up + Etihad’s China expansion

SKIN IN THE GAME

China’s Iran support restrained by investments in Middle East

war toll

Saudi Aramco-TotalEnergies refinery damaged in Iran attack

The Daily Circuit: Aramco-TotalEnergies refinery hit earlier this week

bulking up

Mubadala’s assets under management grow 17% to $385B

perilous passage

ADNOC’s Al Jaber says Strait must open with ‘no strings attached’

The Daily Circuit: ADNOC’s Al Jaber says Strait must open + Mubadala asset growth

The Daily Circuit: Markets surge on fragile truce + Shippers eye Hormuz

Quick Hits

repair bill

Middle East energy damage from Iran war could cost $25 billion

Qatar’s Ras Laffan Industrial City faces up to a five-year recovery due to destroyed LNG trains and a 17% capacity drop because of Iranian attacks

Stringer/picture alliance via Getty Images

Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City

By
Omnia Al Desoukie
March 26, 2026
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Energy infrastructure repair costs across the Middle East could reach at least $25 billion, Arab News reports, citing estimates by Rystad Energy.

Key facilities including LNG trains, refineries, and gas-to-liquids plants, have been hit, leaving some sites offline for years.

Qatar’s Ras Laffan Industrial City faces up to a five-year recovery due to destroyed LNG trains and a 17% capacity drop.

The disruption is also driving steep costs for regional businesses, like Hapag-Lloyd, which faces $40-50 million in extra weekly expenses that will likely be passed to customers.

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POWER PLAYERS

Saudi investor summit opens in Miami with Iran war in focus

With Trump due to speak on Friday, the conference takes place amid the disruption of energy markets caused by the Strait of Hormuz shutdown

Public Investment Fund Governor Yasir Al-Rumayyan at FII Priority Summit in Miami (Photo: FII/X)

Future Investment Institute/X

Public Investment Fund Governor Yasir Al-Rumayyan at previous FII Priority Summit in Miami

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 26, 2026
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Saudi Arabia’s FII Priority Summit opened its formal proceedings in Miami on Thursday, with Yasir Al-Rumayyan, Governor of the Public Investment Fund, set to deliver the keynote address to the gathering of global investors and policymakers.

With U.S. President Donald Trump due to speak on Friday, the conference takes place against the backdrop of war in the Middle East and the disruption of global energy markets following Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Among speakers appearing on Wednesday are Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan, Ambassador to the U.S. Princess Reema bint Bandar Al Saud, and Khalid Al-Falih, the Minister of State who formerly served as Investment Minister.

The lineup includes Dina Powell McCormick, the newly appointed President and Vice Chairman of Meta, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, AI leader Fei-Fei Li of Stanford University, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon and Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon.

Also scheduled to address the gathering are White House Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, White House advisors Jared Kushner and Massad Boulos, former Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, real estate developer Stephen Ross and FIFA head Gianni Infantino.

Before the main sessions, the FII Priority summit on Wednesday focused on Latin America, highlighting the region’s growing importance in global capital flows. The program featured Delcy Rodriguez, Venezuela’s Acting President Delcy Rodriguez since the U.S. abduction of President Nicolas Maduro. Rodrigues spoke remotely and expressed hope the country will draw more international investors.

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HEDGE SHIFT

Millennium weighs moving some of Dubai staff to Channel Island

Many financial firms are weighing contingency plans, including relocating teams, tightening travel and adjusting trading operations to manage risk

Stringer/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Dubai International Financial Centre

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 25, 2026
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Millennium Management, led by investor Izzy Englander, may relocate some of its Dubai staff amid the disruptions and security concerns stemming from the Iran war.

The New York-based firm, which had more than 100 employees based in Dubai before the war began, is prepared to expand its presence in the Channel Island of Jersey to staff members who have requested the move, The Financial Times reports.

Other hedge funds and financial firms are weighing contingency plans, including splitting teams across locations, tightening travel and adjusting trading operations to manage risk.

Damage from drone debris to a building in Dubai’s International Financial Centre that houses Millennium employees added to the fears about safety, according to the FT.

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dead detour

Hormuz alternatives give oil not a ‘smidgen’ of help, Kuwaiti says

JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon said that the Iran war could ultimately bring calm to the region, but risks from terrorism and cyberattacks remain severe

F. Carter Smith/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Sheikh Nawaf Al-Sabah, chief executive officer of Kuwait Petroleum Corp., speaks at CERAWeek in Houston

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 25, 2026
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Kuwait Petroleum Corp. CEO Sheikh Nawaf Al-Sabah says emergency measures aimed at offsetting the Iran war’s impact on oil shipping have not raised supplies “even a smidgen” to the level of normal exports.

Speaking in Houston at the annual CERAWeek energy conference, Al-Sabah said Iran is “holding the world’s economy hostage” through its attacks on infrastructure and choking off of the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran has struck Kuwait’s largest oil refinery, as well as the Shah gasfield in the UAE and Qatar’s Ras Laffan industrial hub in response to the bombing campaign by the U.S. and Israel over the past month.

On the other hand, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said in Washington that the Iran war could ultimately bring calm to the region, saying he sees the possibility that, “in the long run, this actually enhances the chance of peace in the Middle East.”

Dimon cautioned, however, that the risks remain severe in the near term, warning of potential terrorist activity and cyberattacks that could spill into global markets, speaking in an onstage interview at the Hill and Valley Forum in Washington, D.C.

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CHEEKY SHOPPING

Primark prepares for Dubai Mall debut amid missile fire from Iran

Primark, a pioneer of fast-fashion retailing, will be sitting in the downtown landmark amid luxury boutiques operated by Prada, Gucci and Hermès

Katy Blackwood / NurPhoto via Getty Images

A branch of the Irish-owned discount chain in Derby, England

By
Omnia Al Desoukie
March 24, 2026
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Even as Iranian missiles score direct hits at adjoining hotels and office towers, the Dubai Mall is preparing to welcome Primark this week to its vast retail galleries.

Primark will open its largest Middle East store in the world’s busiest shopping emporium on Thursday, part of a three-store rollout with UAE partner Alshaya Group, employing a staff of 600, Arabian Gulf Business Insights reports.

Primark, a pioneer of bargain fast-fashion stores, will be sitting amid luxury boutiques operated by Prada, Gucci and Hermès.

Executives say prolonged instability could impede supply chains, but alternative routes and strong inventory levels are helping maintain operations for now.

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SUPPLY shock

Hormuz shutdown sparks oil industry warnings at CERAWeek

Iran’s effort to close the waterway is an act of 'economic terrorism,' ADNOC's Dr. Sultan Al Jaber told the energy conference in a keynote speech

Emirates News Agency

Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, UAE Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology and Group CEO of ADNOC, addressing CERAWeek conference remotely

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 24, 2026
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Oil executives from the Gulf and around the world warned at the energy industry’s massive CERAWeek conference in Houston that the Iran war is inflicting potentially lasting damage, with disruptions to supply chains expected to take years to repair.

Iran’s effort to shut down the Strait of Hormuz is an act of “economic terrorism against every nation”, Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, the UAE’s Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology and ADNOC’s Group CEO, said in a keynote speech on Monday, delivered remotely.

Pointing to damage ADNOC facilities have suffered, including the Shah gas field, the Habshan gas processing complex and the Ruwais refining hub, Al Jaber said: “Our defenses have been tested. Our resilience has been tested. Our character has been tested. And we withstood.”

Other industry leaders, including TotalEnergies Chairman and CEO Patrick Pouyanne, warned that prolonged disruption risks fueling inflation, tightening global supplies and triggering broader economic fallout.

Closing the Strait of Hormuz also threatens global agriculture, as the passage carries key nitrogen inputs underpinning roughly half the world’s food supply, Chris Krebs, former director of the U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, warns in the Financial Times.

Gulf states supply 49% of globally traded urea and 30% of ammonia, and any disruption could undermine crop yields in the months ahead, Krebs said.

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OIL CRISIS

Gulf energy companies move to keep oil and gas flowing amid Iran attacks

More than 40 energy assets across the Middle East have now been “severely or very severely” damaged in the escalating Iran war

A truck drives past an ADNOC facility in Abu Dhabi. (AFP via Getty Images)

By
Louise Burke
March 23, 2026
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The Gulf’s national energy companies are scrambling to keep critical oil and gas supplies flowing amid Iranian attacks on their refineries and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Aramco and other major exporters are working to ramp up alternative routes and taking measures to ensure plants can rapidly return to full production.

More than 40 energy assets across the Middle East have now been “severely or very severely” damaged in the escalating Iran war, according to the International Energy Agency, including extensive damage at Qatar’s Ras Laffan Industrial City, which houses the world’s biggest LNG export plant.

The attacks had knocked out 17% of Qatar’s LNG export capacity, causing about $20 billion in lost annual revenue, for three to five years, QatarEnergy CEO Saad al-Kaabi, who is also Qatar’s Energy Minister, told Reuters in an interview. 

The disruption is equivalent to the two major oil crises in the 1970s and the 2022 natural gas crisis triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine “all put together,” IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said at Australia’s National Press Club in Canberra today. Global LNG exports have declined to a six-month low.

Adnoc Gas has resumed operations at Habshan, the UAE’s largest gas processing facility, after it was forced to halt operations following an attack last week, Bloomberg reports. Its LNG plant at Das Island is operating at very low levels because of the export bottleneck, but has continued producing to allow for a quick return to higher capacity.

Saudi Aramco is ramping up flows through its 1,200-kilometer East-West pipeline, rerouting some oil exports from the kingdom’s oil fields in the east of the country to the port of Yanbu on the Red Sea, where more oil tankers are arriving daily and exports have passed 3.6 million barrels a day. 

Aramco CEO Nasser Amin withdrew from CERAweek, the major energy conference kicking off in Houston today, as he prioritizes dealing with the crisis. Nasser earlier this month warned of the “catastrophic” impact on global oil markets if the Iran war continues.

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check your calendar

Iran conflict disrupts deals, sports and major business conferences

Organizers of big gatherings such as the World Petroleum Congress are changing plans as travel disruptions and security concerns pile up

Waleed Zain/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

Navigating the Arabian Travel Market at the Dubai World Trade Centre in 2022

By
Jonathan H. Ferziger
March 18, 2026
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The impact of war with Iran is spreading far beyond oil markets and shipping lanes, forcing companies, conference organizers and sports federations to cancel deals and major international events across the Middle East.

Australian infrastructure giant Macquarie withdrew from bidding for a stake in Kuwait’s oil pipeline network in a deal valued at some $7 billion, Reuters reports. The project was intended to bring private capital into Kuwait’s energy infrastructure, but the conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have sharply raised the risk profile for Gulf oil assets.

Macquarie’s withdrawal is one of the first major examples of an international investor walking away from a Gulf transaction because of the war. Kuwait Petroleum Corp., which launched the pipeline sale shortly before Iranian strikes hit Gulf cities, is still seeking bids from other investors, though the conflict has already forced it to declare force majeure and reduce output.

The shock waves are also affecting the region’s conference industry. Organizers of major international gatherings in the Gulf are reassessing schedules as travel disruptions and security concerns mount, with some large events being postponed or shifted while others warn that further delays are possible if the conflict drags on.

Among the events affected is the World Petroleum Congress, one of the energy industry’s most important gatherings, which organizers said will be postponed because of the ongoing Middle East crisis. Arabian Travel Market, a flagship global travel trade show scheduled for May in Dubai,has been pushed back to August at the Dubai World Trade Centre as organizers try to ensure international participation and safety for exhibitors and visitors.

Major sporting events have also been caught in the turmoil. UEFA and CONMEBOL confirmed that the 2026 Finalissima between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for March 27 in Qatar, has been cancelled after organizers concluded that the regional security situation and travel disruptions made the match impossible to stage.

Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, the UAE’s Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology and CEO of ADNOC, meanwhile, said Iran’s actions represent a broader threat to regional stability that goes beyond a conventional military confrontation. “This is not a military exchange. This is an attack on a peaceful nation, a nation that has been working diligently and very hard for diplomacy,” Al Jaber told The Wall Street Journal.

Yousef Al Otaiba, the UAE’s ambassador to the U.S., said the conflict with Iran is testing the resilience of international partnerships as governments coordinate responses to the regional instability. “The international community sent a clear message –  it will not tolerate attacks on our sovereignty,” Al Otaiba said in a statement posted by the UAE Embassy.

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